Thursday, February 20, 2014

If Only Buffett Could Buy These Five Small Caps

With a fortune close to $60 billion and a reputation as perhaps the smartest investor of all time, Warren Buffett has plenty of advantages over individual investors. If Buffett wants to have an in-depth discussion with the CEO of a company he's considering investing in, for example, you can bet that CEO will take Mr. Buffett's call.

In addition, Buffett's own personal fortune probably gives him an advantage in terms of being patient and focusing on the long-term—he could lose half of his net worth in the short term and still be one of the richest people in the world; if you lose half your net worth, there's a good chance that panic could set in and lead you to compound your losses with more rash decisions.

Finally, of course, Buffett's contacts and friends include some of the business and political worlds' most influential people, which one would have to imagine gives him a leg up on getting the inside scoop on a whole variety of issues that impact investing decisions.

But make no mistake: As an individual investor, you have at least one advantage over Buffett, and it's a very big one. The advantage: Buffett is constrained by the size of his Berkshire Hathaway Berkshire Hathaway empire. Because the company has a market cap of nearly $300 billion and an investment portfolio of more than $90 billion, the universe of stocks from which Buffett can choose is dramatically smaller than the universe from which you and I can choose.

In order for an investment to make any sort of significant impact on Berkshire's massive portfolio, Buffett has to be able to deploy a big chunk of capital into that investment. If he were to buy 10% of a $200 million market cap company's shares, he'd have an investment that would barely move the needle at Berkshire, regardless of how well that particular stock did.

That doesn't mean Berkshire won't occasionally invest in smaller firms. Managers Ted Weschler and Todd Combs handle smaller portfolios for the firm while Buffett focuses on Berkshire's big, core holdings, like Coca-Cola Coca-Cola and American Express American Express. That gives Combs and Weschler a chance to dip into somewhat smaller stocks.

But the point is that even if they or Buffett find a big time winner of a small-cap, it's just not going to make a big impact on the company's returns. You, on the other hand, can make the small-cap universe a big chunk of your portfolio, if that's where you see the best opportunities. (And, over the long haul, many studies have shown that small caps tend to outperform their larger peers.)

My Buffett inspired Guru Strategy uses Buffett's approach (as described in the book Buffettology, written by his former daughter-in-law and colleague Mary Buffett and David Clark) to screen thousands of stocks, including small caps.

Among the model's criteria: the company should have a decade-long track record of increasing annual earnings per share; long-term debt should be no more than five times annual earnings; average return on equity over the past ten years should be at least 15%, while average return on retained earnings (those not paid out as dividends) should be at least 12% over that span; and earnings yield should be higher than the long term Treasury yield.

The strategy often will find smaller stocks that meet its criteria, and, while Buffett and Berkshire can't really profit much from these stocks, you can. Here's a sampling of some of the small stocks it's keen on now. (As always, you should invest in stocks like these as part of a broader, diversified portfolio.)

Hibbett Sports: This Alabama-based sporting goods retailer focuses on small and mid-sized markets, mostly in the South, Southwest, Mid-Atlantic and Midwest. It has about 850 retail stores across 26 states, mostly under the Hibbett Sports name but with some also under the Sports Additions and Sports & Co. names.

Hibbett ($1.5 billion market cap) gets a 100% score from my Buffett-based model. It has upped EPS in all but one year of the past decade, has no long-term debt, and has a 23% average 10-year ROE.

Raven Industries (RAVN): Formed more than 50 years ago as a manufacturer of high-altitude research balloons for the U.S. space program, South Dakota-based Raven ($1.3 billion market cap) still makes research balloons and other products like parachutes and protective wear. It also has operations that blend technology and agriculture, making field computers, planter and boom controls, GPS guidance, and protective films and sheeting used to protect environmental resources.

Raven gets a strong 92% score from my Buffett-based model. A few reasons: Its EPS have dipped in only one year of the past decade; it has no long-term debt; and its 10-year average ROE is 25.3%.

Ebix (EBIX): Atlanta-based Ebix ($570 million market cap) supplies software and e-commerce solutions to the insurance industry. Shares have struggled over the past year as growth has slowed, but my Buffett strategy thinks that has made it a great bargain, giving it a 99% score. It likes that EBIX has upped EPS in every year of the past decade (it is on track for a dip this year, but the model sees that as a buying opportunity).

It also likes that Ebix has more annual earnings ($62 million) than long term debt ($46 million), and that it has averaged a return on retained earnings of nearly 23% over the past decade. Factor in a 10.9% earnings yield and there's quite a bit to like.

Wednesday, February 19, 2014

Mid-Day Market Update: US Stocks Turn Red; La-Z-Boy Declines On Downbeat Results

Related BZSUM Mid-Morning Market Update: Markets Mixed; Signet To Acquire Zale For $21/Share #PreMarket Primer: Wednesday, February 19: Tesla Earnings Expected Today

Midway through trading Wednesday, the Dow traded down 0.26 percent to 16,088.68 while the NASDAQ dropped 0.57 percent to 4,248.65. The S&P also fell, declining 0.32 percent to 1,834.87.

Leading and Lagging Sectors
In trading on Wednesday, energy shares were relative leaders, up on the day by about 0.69%. Meanwhile, top gainers in energy sector included Ocean Rig UDW (NASDAQ: ORIG), with shares up 5.6%, and Nabors Industries (NYSE: NBR), with shares up 10.7%. Shares of Nabors jumped after the company reported fourth-quarter results.

Telecommunications services sector was the leading decliner in the US market today. Telecommunications services stocks dropped 0.43% in today's trading. Among the stocks, Mobile Telesystems OJSC (NYSE: MBT) was down more than 4.8%, while Telecom Argentina SA (NYSE: TEO) tumbled around 2.5%.

Top Headline
Signet Jewelers (NYSE: SIG) announced its plans to buy Zale (NYSE: ZLC) for around $690 million. Signet will pay $21 per share to acquire Zale, representing a 41% premium to Zale's closing price of $14.91 on Tuesday.

Equities Trading UP
Zale (NYSE: ZLC) shot up 40.11 percent to $20.89 after Signet Jewelers (NYSE: SIG) announced its plans to buy Zale for around $690 million.

Shares of Garmin (NASDAQ: GRMN) got a boost, shooting up 8.54 percent to $51.20 after the company reported upbeat fourth-quarter earnings.

Signet Jewelers (NYSE: SIG) was also up, gaining 16.93 percent to $92.69 after the company announced its plans to acquire Zale for $21.00 per share.

Equities Trading DOWN

Shares of SM Energy Company (NYSE: SM) were down 17.47 percent to $73.93 after the company reported downbeat quarterly earnings. KeyBanc downgraded the stock from Buy to Hold.

Potbelly (NASDAQ: PBPB) shares tumbled 10.58 percent to $20.03 after the company reported its fourth quarter results. Bank of America cut the price target on the stock from $33.00 to $27.00.

La-Z-Boy (NYSE: LZB) was down, falling 4.43 percent to $25.91 on weaker-than-expected fiscal third-quarter results.

Commodities
In commodity news, oil traded up 0.29 percent to $102.73, while gold traded down 0.34 percent to $1,319.90.

Silver traded down 0.22 percent Wednesday to $21.85, while copper rose 0.08 percent to $3.29.

Eurozone

European shares were mostly higher today.

The Spanish Ibex Index rose 0.11 percent, while Italy's FTSE MIB Index declined 0.20 percent. Meanwhile, the German DAX rose 0.01 percent and the French CAC 40 climbed 0.24 percent while U.K. shares gained 0.01 percent.

Economics
The MBA reported that its index of mortgage application activity declined 4.1% in the week ended February 14.

The ICSC/Goldman Sachs Retail Chain Store Sales Index rose 2.5% in the week ended Saturday.

Construction on new homes declined 16% to an annual rate of 880,000 in in January. However, economists were expecting a rate of 945,000 in January.

US producer prices increased 0.2% in January, versus economists' expectations for a 0.1% rise.

The Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index fell 1.2% in the first two weeks of February.

The Federal Open Market Committee will issue minutes of its latest meeting at 2:00 p.m. ET.

Posted-In: Earnings News Guidance Eurozone Futures Forex Global Econ #s Economics Intraday Update Markets Movers Tech

(c) 2014 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

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Aluminum Revolution: Ford Introduces a New F-150

Auto Show Ford F-150Ford/APThe new 2015 Ford F-150 pickup. DEARBORN, Mich. -- Ford pickups have been doing the country's work for 66 years. They've hauled grain, towed logs and plowed snow. They've cleared debris after tornadoes and pulled floats in the Rose Bowl parade. They've shouldered those loads with parts forged from steel. Until now. On Monday, Ford (F) unveils a new F-150 with a body built almost entirely out of aluminum. The lighter material shaves as much as 700 pounds off the 5,000-pound truck, a revolutionary change for a vehicle known for its heft and an industry still heavily reliant on steel. The change is Ford's response to small-business owners' desire for a more fuel-efficient and nimble truck -- and stricter government requirements on fuel economy. And it sprang from a challenge by Ford's CEO to move beyond the traditional design for a full-size pickup. "You're either moving ahead and you're improving and you're making it more valuable and more useful to the customer or you're not," Chief Executive Officer Alan Mulally told The Associated Press in a recent interview. Ninety-seven percent of the body of the 2015 F-150 is aluminum, the most extensive use of aluminum ever in a truck. And this isn't just any truck. F-Series trucks -- which include the F-150 and heavier duty models like the F-250 -- have been the best-selling vehicles in the U.S. for the last 32 years; last year, Ford sold an F-Series every 41 seconds. The key question for Ford, and the people who sell its trucks, is: Will customers embrace such a radical change? Dealers who have seen the new F-150 say they expect to encounter some skepticism, but the change had to be made. "We're aggressive, stretching the envelope," said Sam Pack, owner of four Ford dealerships in the Dallas-Fort Worth area. "I think you have to do that. If you don't, then you get into that predicament of being a 'me too' vehicle." Still, it's a big risk. Ford makes an estimated $10,000 profit on every F-Series truck it sells, making trucks a $7.6 billion profit center in the U.S. alone last year. And the company has had some quality issues with recent vehicle launches, adding to dealers' worries. The 2013 Escape small SUV has been the subject of seven recalls. The 2015 F-150 goes on sale late this year. While aluminum is more expensive that steel, Ford truck marketing chief Doug Scott says the F-Series will stay within the current price range. F-Series trucks now range from a starting price of $24,445 for a base model to $50,405 for a top-of-the-line Limited. It's difficult to calculate how much more aluminum costs, since there are different grades of aluminum and steel. Pete Reyes, the F-150's chief engineer, said Ford expects to make up the premium by reducing its recycling costs, since there will be less metal to recycle, and by slimming down the engine and other components, since they won't have to move so much weight. Aluminum was used on cars even before the first F-Series went on sale in 1948. It's widely used on sporty, low-volume cars now, like the Tesla (TSLA) Model S electric sedan and the Land Rover Evoque. U.S. Postal Service trucks are also made of aluminum. Ford has spent decades researching the metal. Twenty years ago, the company built a fleet of 20 all-aluminum experimental sedans. Later, it used aluminum on exotic cars from Aston-Martin and Jaguar, brands it used to own. But up to now, Ford limited the aluminum on its trucks to the hoods and used steel for the rest. Higher Fuel-Economy Mandates New government fuel economy requirements, which mandate that automakers' cars and trucks get a combined 54.5 miles per gallon by 2025, are speeding the switch to aluminum. Chrysler's Ram is currently the most fuel-efficient pickup, getting 25 mpg on the highway. The current F-150 gets as much as 23 mpg. Ford won't say what the new truck's fuel economy will be, but says it will trump the competition. That could be an especially important incentive for landscapers, carpenters and other small business owners focused on their bottom line. "I think that's going to outweigh the aluminum part of it," said Brian Jarrett, a Ford dealer in Winter Haven, Fla., who hasn't yet seen the new truck. Improvements in aluminum are also driving the change. Three years ago, for example, Alcoa Inc. (AA) -- one of Ford's suppliers for the F-150 -- figured out a way to pretreat aluminum so it would be more durable when parts are bonded together. Carmakers can now use three or four rivets to piece together parts that would have needed 10 rivets before, Alcoa spokesman Kevin Lowery said. And Ford is able to take more risks. When the F-150 was last redesigned, in the mid-2000s, Ford was losing billions each year and resources were spread thin. But by 2010, when the company gave the green light to an all-aluminum truck, Ford was making money again. CEO Alan Mulally, a former Boeing Co. (BA) executive who joined Ford in 2006, encouraged his team to think bigger. After all, it was Mulally who led early development of Boeing's Dreamliner, which replaced aluminum with even lighter-weight plastics to be more efficient and fly further. "Everything becomes more efficient once you take the weight out," Mulally says. He expects aluminum to be used across Ford's model lineup in the future. Ford is convinced truck buyers will accept the change. The company says the new truck will tow more and haul more, since the engine doesn't have to account for so much weight. It can also accelerate and stop more quickly. Aluminum doesn't rust, Ford says, and it's more resistant to dents. Reyes says the company planted prototype F-150s with three companies -- in mining, construction and power -- for two years without revealing they were aluminum. The companies didn't notice a difference. Mulally says Ford's customers have already shown a willingness to adopt new technology. Forty percent of the F-Series trucks sold last year had Ford's more efficient EcoBoost engines, for example, which were introduced just three years ago. And Mulally says owners trust Ford. Ford will still have a tough time wresting customers from the competition, mainly Chevrolet, GMC and Ram, says Jesse Toprak, an independent auto industry consultant in Los Angeles. Brand Loyalty "Movement between brands in the full-size truck segment is extremely minimal," Toprak says. "It's the strongest loyalty of any segment." Still, about 20 percent of pickup buyers traditionally are open to jumping from brand to brand based on features or price, Toprak said. The company with the newest, most advanced truck has the advantage in getting those customers, plus those who are new to the market, Toprak says. Some steel remains on the truck. The frame beneath it is built primarily of high-strength steel, which Ford says will make it tougher and stiffer than the current frame. There's also steel in the front dashboard, because Ford thought steel was better at dampening nose from the engine. In all, a four-door F-150 has 660 pounds of aluminum, or nearly double the average use of aluminum per vehicle used now, according to Drive Aluminum, an aluminum industry website. If the Ford truck is a success, use of aluminum could expand rapidly at the expense of steel. "People are beginning to truly understand the value that aluminum can bring to the table," Lowery said. Ford is expecting some issues with the design or the manufacturing as it makes the change, Mulally said. But the company is working hard to troubleshoot. "I think the attitude is, expect the unexpected and expect to deal with it," he says. "Sometimes I think our core competency is scrambling. That's not unique to Ford." Mulally, who grew up driving an F-150 on his family's farm in Kansas, particularly likes the new truck's front windows, which dip down 2 inches for better visibility. "That's just an unbelievable innovation. You're sitting up there and you need to know where you are," he says. "I think that is absolutely a laser focus on what the customer wants and values."

Monday, February 17, 2014

Is Citigroup an Attractive Investment?

With shares of Citigroup (NYSE:C) trading around $54, is C an OUTPERFORM, WAIT AND SEE, or STAY AWAY? Let's analyze the stock with the relevant sections of our CHEAT SHEET investing framework:

T = Trends for a Stock’s Movement

Citigroup is a global diversified financial services holding company providing consumers, corporations, governments, and institutions with a broad range of financial products and services. It operates in two segments: Citicorp and Citi Holdings. The company's products and services are: consumer banking and credit, corporate and investment banking, securities brokerage, wealth management, and transaction services to consumers, corporations, governments, and institutions worldwide.

Citigroup, which is scaling back illiquid investments to comply with rules that limit risk-taking by banks, may sell about $1 billion in holdings managed by its former private-equity business, according to five people familiar with the matter. The bank is considering selling its stakes in funds managed by Citi Venture Capital International, or CVCI, a private-equity manager that Citi sold to New York-based Rohatyn Group in December, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the talks are private. Rohatyn plans to give investors in two CVCI funds the option to sell their holdings to other buyers, who would provide fresh capital for new deals, said one of the people.

T = Technicals on the Stock Chart Are Strong

Citigroup stock has been moving higher in the past couple of years. The stock is currently surging higher and looks poised to continue. Analyzing the price trend and its strength can be done using key simple moving averages. What are the key moving averages? The 50-day (pink), 100-day (blue), and 200-day (yellow) simple moving averages. As seen in the daily price chart below, Citigroup is trading above its rising key averages, which signal neutral to bullish price action in the near-term.

C

(Source: Thinkorswim)

Taking a look at the implied volatility (red) and implied volatility skew levels of Citigroup options may help determine if investors are bullish, neutral, or bearish.

Implied Volatility (IV)

30-Day IV Percentile

90-Day IV Percentile

Citigroup options

23.67%

30%

28%

What does this mean? This means that investors or traders are buying a minimal amount of call and put options contracts, as compared to the last 30 and 90 trading days.

Put IV Skew

Call IV Skew

February Options

Flat

Average

March Options

Flat

Average

As of today, there is an average demand from call buyers or sellers and low demand by put buyers or high demand by put sellers, all neutral to bullish over the next two months. To summarize, investors are buying a minimal amount of call and put option contracts and are leaning neutral to bullish over the next two months.

On the next page, let’s take a look at the earnings and revenue growth rates and the conclusion.

E = Earnings Are Increasing Quarter-Over-Quarter

Rising stock prices are often strongly correlated with rising earnings and revenue growth rates. Also, the last four quarterly earnings announcement reactions help gauge investor sentiment on Citigroup’s stock. What do the last four quarterly earnings and revenue growth (Y-O-Y) figures for Citigroup look like and more importantly, how did the markets like these numbers?

2013 Q3

2013 Q2

2013 Q1

2012 Q4

Earnings Growth (Y-O-Y)

589.53%

41.05%

29.47%

24.51%

Revenue Growth (Y-O-Y)

30.48%

11.38%

5.59%

5.82%

Earnings Reaction

-1.49%

1.96%

0.20%

-2.91%

Citigroup has seen increasing earnings and revenue figures over the last four quarters. From these numbers, the markets have been pleased with Citigroup’s recent earnings announcements.

P = Excellent Relative Performance Versus Peers and Sector

How has Citigroup stock done relative to its peers, JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM), Bank of America (NYSE:BAC), Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC), and sector?

Citigroup

JPMorgan Chase

Bank of America

Wells Fargo

Sector

Year-to-Date Return

4.97%

0.55%

6.52%

0.81%

4.21%

Citigroup has been a relative performance leader, year-to-date.

Conclusion

Citigroup is a bellwether that offers essential financial products and services to consumers and companies worldwide. The company may sell about $1 billion in holdings managed by its former private-equity business. The stock has been moving higher over the past couple of years and is now trending higher. Over the last four quarters, earnings and revenues have been rising which has pleased investors in the company. Relative to its peers and sector, Citigroup has been a year-to-date performance leader. Look for Citigroup to OUTPERFORM.

Friday, February 14, 2014

The State of International Small-Cap - Royce Funds Commentary

While some argue that domestic small-cap leadership in 2013 was a result of its heavy exposure to companies that tend to generate most of their income domestically, others contest that this greater focus on the U.S. may mean missing out on the benefits of faster-growing foreign economies.

We, on the other hand, choose to focus our attentions on individual companies, particularly those in more cyclical areas of the market that are more closely tied to the global economy.

There have always been generalizations about the economy and the stock market. Many possess a degree of truth, but at least an equal number are just as often exaggerated, misunderstood, or just plain wrong. This is particularly true when it comes to the small-cap asset class.

Considering the barrage of macro headlines that have affected global stock markets over the last several years, we thought it would be worthwhile to once again examine the state of international small-caps and the effect of international revenues on recent small-cap performance.

These issues interest us for two related reasons: Many of the cyclical sectors in which we routinely find bargains that we like—Industrials, Information Technology, Energy, and Materials—often derive a sizable chunk of their respective revenues from outside the U.S.

We also have been expanding our activities in non-U.S. investing over the last several years. All of this makes the state of international investing particularly interesting to us.

Earlier in 2013, some observers claimed that because many companies in the small-cap Russell 2000 Index are more closely tied to domestic growth, the index was able to hold an advantage over its large-cap counterparts. (This advantage held true for the year as a whole—small-cap led the domestic indexes, and all had higher returns than their non-U.S. counterparts.)

The argument developed the idea that greater stateside focus benefited smaller companies particularly earlier this year when investors were worried about economic growth in Europe and Asia.

2013's results notwithstanding, others see a greater focus on the U.S. as a potential disadvantage, believing that the typically higher percentage of domestically generated revenue for small companies may keep them from enjoying the benefits of faster-growing foreign economies.

We examine the source of revenues for each company that we look at, though we are only concerned with their geographic origin if our analysis suggests that location is a potential threat to their sustainability. However, we suspect that the weighted average percentage of revenue being generated outside of the U.S. for many of our portfolios that invest primarily in U.S. smaller companies would be greater than that of the Russell 2000.

This is in large part a matter of what we choose to own versus what we do not—a clear benefit of active management in our view. For example, we are generally underweight, or do not own, Utilities, real estate investment trusts, and small banks, all of which make up a good-sized portion of the Russell 2000 and generate most of their income domestically.

At the same time, we have greater exposure to more cyclical areas of the market that are more closely tied to the global economy, such as Information Technology, Industrials, Materials, and Energy.

Over the last 15 years, we have expanded our search for undervalued companies by moving beyond our borders. Our initial forays into international investing generally involved companies headquartered abroad that had a strong U.S. presence. We then began to expand our scope to include companies with sizeable operations outside the U.S.

Our commitment to international investing is rooted in the Royce tradition, which aims to capitalize on market inefficiencies to generate strong absolute returns while actively managing risk.

In addition, we embrace the idea that quality is a global concept that transcends borders. The same attributes that we seek in smaller U.S. companies—strong balance sheets, an established record of profitability, high returns on invested capital, and the ability to generate free cash flow—can be found in international businesses. This is why investing in non-U.S. companies has become an important part of our asset management efforts.

Important Disclosure Information

The thoughts in this essay concerning the stock market are solely those of Royce & Associates, LLC and, of course, there can be no assurance with regard to future market movements. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

This material is not authorized for distribution unless preceded or accompanied by a currentprospectus. Please read the prospectus carefully before investing or sending money. Investments in securities of small-cap, micro-cap, and/or mid-cap companies may involve considerably more risk than investments in securities of larger-cap companies. (See "Primary Risks for Fund Investors" in the respective prospectus.) Investments in foreign companies may be subject to different risks than investments in securities of U.S. companies, including adverse political, social, economic, or other developments that are unique to a particular country or region. (Please see "Investing in International Securities" in the prospectus.) Russell Investment Group is the source and owner of the trademarks, service marks and copyrights related to the Russell Indexes. Russell® is a trademark of Russell Investment Group. The Russell 2000 is an unmanaged, capitalization-weighted index of domestic small-cap stocks. It measures the performance of the 2,000 smallest publicly traded U.S. companies in the Russell 3000 index. The S&P 500 is an index of U.S. large-cap stocks selected by Standard & Poor's based on market size, liquidity, and industry grouping, among other factors. The performance of an index does not represent exactly any particular investment, as you cannot invest directly in an index.


Also check out: Chuck Royce Undervalued Stocks Chuck Royce Top Growth Companies Chuck Royce High Yield stocks, and Stocks that Chuck Royce keeps buying

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[video] Jim Cramer Quick Take: How to Play Panera Heading into Earnings

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Panera Bread Company (PNRA) reports earnings next Wednesday. TheStreet's Jim Cramer, co-manager of the Action Alerts PLUS portfolio, likes the risk-to-reward setup heading into the report. 

Cramer said the company has struggled to keep up with competitors Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG), Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD) and Starbucks (SBUX). All three of those companies have now set the earnings bar relatively high, with stronger-than-expected earnings results of their own. 

Cramer said that if Panera CEO Ron Shaich -- one of his "Bankable 21" CEOs from his new book, Get Rich Carefully -- was able to more efficiently handle lunchtime crowds, the stock could go to $200.

If Shaich fails to improve the peak hours rush efficiency, then the stock is likely headed back down to $150, he said. Either way, the stock is going to move about $25. In this regard, Cramer views it a good risk-to-reward setup with the use of call options, so the downside will be limited. 

Cramer acknowledged that even companies with solid operations can get whacked on earnings, referring to the recent results and subsequent price action of Whole Foods Market (WFM).  But he concluded that investors should take a chance on Panera, perhaps by shorting the common stock and buying call options, a strategy that's highlighted in greater detail in his new book. -- Written by Bret Kenwell in Petoskey, Mich. Follow @BretKenwell

Stock quotes in this article: WFM, SBUX, BWLD, CMG, PNRA 

Thursday, February 13, 2014

Top 5 Prefered Companies For 2015

ATHENS, Ga. ��Despite resurfaced rumors that he is on the very short list to replace outgoing CEO Steve Ballmer at Microsoft, Ford CEO Alan Mulally maintains that that is not in his plans.

"I love serving Ford and have nothing new to add to (my) plans to continue serving Ford," he said in an exclusive interview with USA TODAY.

Mulally was at the University of Georgia Tuesday to participate in the 16th USA TODAY CEO Forum.

Over the last several weeks, media reports have mentioned Mulally as the leading candidate to succeed Ballmer as the software giant's CEO.

Mulally is known for his ability to turnaround troubled companies. Before coming to Ford in 2006, Mulally spent 37 years at Boeing where he helped outflank competitor Airbus with the Boeing 777 jetliner. At Ford, he ushered in transparency and transformed the car maker into a leaner company.

Top 5 Prefered Companies For 2015: Charter Pacific Corporation Ltd(CHF.AX)

Charter Pacific Corporation Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates primarily in the financial services sector in Australia. The company provides corporate advisory services related to mergers and acquisitions, divestments, IPO?s and private placements, restructures, portfolio review, strategic alliances, and joint ventures, as well as debt advisory and American depositary receipts. It also operates an e-commerce portal in the United Kingdom, which features online libraries of Bollywood and south Asian movies in Hindi, Tamil, Kannada, Marathi, Malayalam, and Bengali; clips; and music videos, as well as various Pakistani dramas. In addition, the company offers coatings and equipment technology in both powder and liquid paints. Additionally, it purchases and sells listed investment securities. Charter Pacific Corporation Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Surfers Paradise, Australia.

Top 5 Prefered Companies For 2015: LCA-Vision Inc.(LCAV)

LCA-Vision Inc. provides fixed-site laser vision correction services through its LasikPlus vision centers. Its vision centers offer laser vision correction services for correcting nearsightedness, farsightedness, and astigmatism. As of December 31, 2011, the company operated 53 LasikPlus fixed-site laser vision correction centers located in metropolitan markets in the United States. LCA-Vision Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Lisa Levin]

    Medical Practitioners: This industry jumped 2.82% by 10:15 am. The top performer in this industry was LCA-Vision (NASDAQ: LCAV), which rose 2.9%. LCA-Vision's trailing-twelve-month revenue is $91.12 million.

  • [By Roberto Pedone]

    LCA-Vision (LCAV) provides fixed-site laser vision correction services through its LasikPlus vision centers. This stock closed up 4.4% to $4 in Tuesday's trading session.

    Tuesday's Range: $3.85-$4.04

    52-Week Range: $2.67-$4.60

    Tuesday's Volume: 162,000

    Three-Month Average Volume: 47,256

    From a technical perspective, LCAV bounced sharply higher here right above some near-term support levels at $3.75 to $372 with above-average volume. This move is quickly pushing shares of LCAV within range of triggering a major breakout trade. That trade will hit if LCAV manages to take out some near-term overhead resistance levels at $4.04 to $4.26 and then once it takes out its 52-week high at $4.60 with high volume.

    Traders should now look for long-biased trades in LCAV as long as it's trending above some key near-term support levels at $3.75 to $3.72 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 47,256 shares. If that breakout hits soon, then LCAV will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $6.19 to $7.

Top Safest Stocks To Watch For 2015: MakeMusic Inc.(MMUS)

MakeMusic, Inc. develops and markets music education technology solutions that transform how music is composed, taught, learned, and performed. It offers SmartMusic, an interactive music teaching and learning solution for band, orchestra, and vocal students to use at schools and homes; SmartMusic Gradebook, a Web-based grade book for teachers to post assignments to students, receive completed assignments from students, assess student achievement, and manage student records; and SmartMusic Inbox, a free application for Android and Apple platforms. The company also provides Finale family of music notation products for use with Macintosh and Windows PC operating systems that enable a musician to enter musical data into a computer using the computer keyboard, a musical instrument digital interface (MIDI)-equipped electronic music keyboard, or other MIDI-equipped instruments, as well as to display the data on a computer screen as a musical score. Its SmartMusic software solutio ns serve public and private school music administrators, instrumental music educators, and their students primarily in the United States and Canada; and Finale family of notation products serve composers, arrangers, publishers, and music teachers worldwide. The company markets its SmartMusic software solutions directly through its Website, smartmusic.com; and Finale family of notation products through channel-specific distributors and retailers in musical instrument, educational, and consumer electronic channels, as well as directly through its Website. MakeMusic, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is based in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.

Top 5 Prefered Companies For 2015: SRS Labs Inc.(SRSL)

SRS Labs, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the development and provision of audio and voice technology solutions. The company principally develops and markets audio rendering, voice, and surround sound technologies and solutions to original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, semiconductor manufacturers, and software providers. The company?s portfolio of licensable technologies includes Surround Sound, Audio Rendering, Voice Processing, and Solutions Suite. A surround sound technology, Circle Surround, is an encoding and decoding format. Circle surround encoding enables the distribution of up to 6.1 channels of audio over existing two-channel carriers, such as digital media files, standard definition and high-definition television, FM radio, and compact discs; and Circle Surround decoding decodes Circle Surround encoded material for multichannel playback or creates up to 6.1 channels of audio from older formats of material, including mono, ste reo, 4-channel surround, or other matrix surround formats. Audio Rendering technologies optimize device audio output and enable the presentation of 3D and multichannel audio content over two speakers. Its TruVoice and SRS Noise Reduction technologies reduce noise to produce a clearer dialog over wireless communication devices and improve the intelligibility of the human voice in a variety of listening situations, including high ambient background environments. The company?s solutions suites combine various technologies to deliver a package of post processing audio enhancement products. It serves home entertainment, personal computers, personal telecommunications, automotive, portable media devices, and broadcast markets. The company sells its products and services in Korea, Japan, the Americas, the People's Republic of China, the Asia Pacific, and Europe. SRS Labs, Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Ana, California.

Top 5 Prefered Companies For 2015: Fibria Celulose SA (FBR)

Fibria Celulose S.A. (Fibria), formerly Votorantim Celulose e Papel S.A., incorporated on July 25, 1941, is a producer of market pulp. During the year ended December 31, 2010, Fibria produced 5,054 kilotons of eucalyptus pulp (including 50.0% of the pulp production of Veracel). The Company also produces coated and uncoated paper, carbonless paper and thermal paper at its Piracicaba paper mill, located in the State of Sao Paulo with an annual production capacity of 190 kilotons. During 2010, it produced 115 kilotons of paper products and recorded consolidated net revenues. Fibria produces bleached eucalyptus kraft pulp at three pulp mills, the Aracruz pulp mill located in the State of Espirito Santo, which has an annual production capacity of 2.3 million tons; the Tres Lagoas pulp mill located in the State of Mato Grosso do Sul, which has an annual production capacity of 1.3 million tons, and the Jacarei pulp mill located in the State of Sao Paulo, which has an annual production capacity of 1.1 million tons. The Company has a 50% interest in Veracel, which owns and operates a pulp mill in the municipality of Eunapolis, State of Bahia, with an annual production capacity of 1.1 million tons.

Pulp

Fibria produces bleached eucalyptus kraft pulp from planted eucalyptus trees. Bleached eucalyptus kraft pulp is a range of hardwood pulp. Eucalyptus is a hardwood tree, and its pulp has short fibers and is generally suited to manufacturing tissue, coated and uncoated printing and writing paper and coated packaging boards. Short fibers are optimal for manufacturing wood-free paper with good printability, smoothness, brightness and uniformity. Market pulp is the pulp sold to producers of paper products. Kraft pulp is pulp produced in a chemical process using sulphate. During 2010, it produced 5,054 kilotons of pulp (including 50.0% of the pulp production of Veracel).

Paper

During 2010, Fibria produced 115 kilotons of paper. The Company produced coated printing an! d writing paper, which is a coated woodfree paper used for promotional materials, folders, internal sheets and cover of magazines, books, tabloids, inserts and mailing; uncoated printing and writing paper, which is a uncoated woodfree paper in reels and sheets; carbonless paper, which is used to produce multi-copy forms, POS, invoices and other applications in place of traditional carbon paper, and thermal paper, which is traditionally used in fax machines; POS, bar code labels, toll tickets, water and gas bills and receipts for automated teller machines (ATMs) and credit card machines. It manufactures thermal paper products with technology licensed byOji Paper Co., Ltd (Oji Paper).

The Company competes with APRIL, Arauco, APP, Georgia Pacific, CMPC, Sodra, Stora Enso, Weyerhaeuser and Suzano.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Seth Jayson]

    Fibria Celulose (NYSE: FBR  ) reported earnings on July 24. Here are the numbers you need to know.

    The 10-second takeaway
    For the quarter ended June 30 (Q2), Fibria Celulose met expectations on revenues and missed expectations on earnings per share.

Top 5 Prefered Companies For 2015: Mitsubishi Elec.corp. (MEL.L)

Mitsubishi Electric Corporation develops, manufactures, sells, and distributes electric and electronic equipment worldwide. The company offers turbine generators, nuclear power plant and power electronics equipment, motors, transformers, circuit breakers, gas insulated switches, switch control and display devices, surveillance-system control and security systems, locomotive and rolling stock electrical equipment, elevators, escalators, building security and management systems, particle beam treatment systems, and others. It also provides programmable logic and computerized numerical controllers, inverters, servomotors, human-machine interface, hoists, magnetic switches, time and power meters, uninterruptible power supply, industrial fans, electrical-discharge and laser processing machines, industrial robots, clutches, automotive electrical equipment, car electronics and mechatronics, car multimedia, and others. In addition, the company offers wireless and wired communicati ons systems, surveillance cameras, satellite communication and radar equipment, satellites, antennas, missile systems, fire control systems, broadcasting and information systems equipment, data transmission devices, network security systems, systems integration products, and others. Further, it provides power modules, high-frequency devices, optical and LCD devices, microcomputers, system LSIs, and others; LCD and projection televisions, display monitors, projectors, Blu-ray disc recorders, room and package air conditioners, air-to-water heat pump boilers, refrigerators, electric fans, ventilators, photovoltaic and hot water supply systems, LED and fluorescent lamps, indoor lighting, compressors, chillers, dehumidifiers, air purifiers, showcases, cleaners, jar rice cookers, microwave ovens, IH cooking heaters, and others; and procurement, logistics, real estate, advertising, finance, and other services. Mitsubishi Electric Corporation was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Top 5 Prefered Companies For 2015: Canam Coal Corp (COE.V)

CanAm Coal Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of coal resources and resource related technologies in the United States. It primarily explores for metallurgical and thermal coal. The company holds interests in 4 coal mines located in Alabama; and coal, mineral, and surface rights on approximately 22,500 acres of land within the Buick Coal Project located in Colorado. It also owns rights to a proprietary coal to liquids technology, which converts coal into liquid fuels, such as oil and jet fuel. CanAm Coal Corp. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Top 5 Prefered Companies For 2015: Gladstone Capital Corporation(GLAD)

Gladstone Capital Corporation is a business development company and operates as a closed-end non-diversified management investment company. It invests in debt and equity securities of small and medium-sized private United States businesses. The company primarily invests in various categories of debt of private companies comprising senior notes, senior subordinated notes, and junior subordinated notes.

Top 5 Prefered Companies For 2015: EntreMed Inc (ENMD.PH)

EntreMed, Inc. (EntreMed), incorporated in 1991, is a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company. EntreMed's drug candidate is ENMD-2076, an Aurora A and angiogenic kinase inhibitor for the treatment of cancer. ENMD-2076 has completed Phase I studies in patients with advanced solid tumors, multiple myeloma and leukemia and is completing data for a multi-center Phase II study in patients with platinum resistant ovarian cancer. The Company�� other product candidates have includes MKC-1, ENMD-1198 and 2-methoxyestrdiol (2ME2, Panzem) for treatment of rheumatoid arthritis.

ENMD-2076 is a novel orally-active, Aurora A/angiogenic kinase inhibitor with potent activity against Aurora A and multiple tyrosine kinases linked to cancer and inflammatory diseases. ENMD-2076 is relatively selective for the Aurora A isoform in comparison to Aurora B. Aurora kinases are key regulators of the process of mitosis, or cell division, and are often over-expressed in human cancers. E NMD-2076 exerts its effects through multiple mechanisms of action, including anti-proliferative activity and the inhibition of angiogenesis. ENMD-2076 has demonstrated significant, dose-dependent preclinical activity as a single agent, including tumor regression, in multiple xenograft models (such as breast, colon, leukemia), as well as activity towards ex vivo-treated human leukemia patient cells.

Top 5 Prefered Companies For 2015: EXACT Sciences Corporation(EXAS)

Exact Sciences Corporation, a molecular diagnostics company, focuses on developing a molecular diagnostic technology for the early detection and prevention of colorectal pre-cancer and cancer. The company develops the Cologuard, a non-invasive stool-based DNA colorectal cancer screening test that is designed to detect each of the four stages of colorectal cancer, as well as pre-cancerous lesions. Its test includes proprietary and patented methods, which isolate and analyze the trace amounts of human DNA that are shed into stool every day from the exfoliation of cells that line the colon. The company?s Cologuard test is also used to detect blood in stool, utilizing an antibody-based fecal immunochemical test. It has a strategic alliance agreement with LabCorp under which it licenses its patents and patent applications relating to the stool-based colorectal cancer screening technology to LabCorp; a collaboration, license, and purchase agreement with Genzyme Corporation to d eliver intellectual property improvements through licenses; and a license agreement with MAYO Foundation for medical education and research. Exact Sciences Corporation was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Madison, Wisconsin.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Keith Speights]

    Disappointing test results
    Exact Sciences (NASDAQ: EXAS  ) announced preliminary results from a study of its Cologuard colorectal cancer screening test on Thursday. All of the primary and secondary endpoints from this study were met, but Exact shares still dropped 13%. Where was the disappointment?

Top 5 Prefered Companies For 2015: Estrella Intl Energy Svcs Ltd (EEN.V)

Estrella International Energy Services Ltd. provides drilling and workover rigs, directional drilling, and wellbore services and consulting to the petroleum, mining, and geothermal sectors in Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Peru, and Bolivia. The company provides drilling and workover rigs; directional drilling, vertical monitoring, drilling optimization, and MWD services for oil and gas drilling operations; and well clean out services for well completion operations. It also engages in the rental of drilling tools, including stabilizers, monels, X-overs, bit subs, roller reamers, down hole motors, jars and shock subs, packers, and bridge plugs; and equipment sales, such as completion accessories, liner hangers, packers, bridge plugs, cement retainers, and sand control screens and accessories to support both drilling and completion operations. In addition, the company involves in project management and engineering consulting services, including well construction, completion, an d intervention engineering; drilling and workover management; production enhancement; field management; equipment engineering and design; rig selection, contracting, fabrication, and commissioning; and engineering studies. Further, it provides a range of cased hole fishing services. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Top 5 Prefered Companies For 2015: Sino Clean Energy Inc.(SCEI)

Sino Clean Energy Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a third party commercial producer and distributor of coal-water slurry fuel (CWSF) in the People?s Republic of China. The company?s CWSF products are primarily used to fuel boilers and furnaces to generate steam and heat for residential and industrial applications. It sells its products directly to various customers, including industrial, commercial, residential, and government organizations. The company is headquartered in Xi?an, China.

Top 5 Prefered Companies For 2015: IRISH CONTINENTAL GROUP UNITS(COMP 1 ORD EUR0.65 & 3 RED SHS)

Irish Continental Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates a passenger and freight shipping service between Ireland and France. It engages in the transport of passengers and cars, roll on roll off freight, and container lift on lift off freight on routes between Ireland, the United Kingdom, and Continental Europe; and operates container terminals in the ports of Dublin and Belfast. The company operates in two segments, Ferries, and Container and Terminal. The Ferries segment engages in the operation and external charter of combined RoRo passenger ferries. The Container and Terminal segment offers door-to-door and feeder LoLo freight, stevedoring, and container storage services. Irish Continental Group plc also provides ferry travel and holiday packages primarily in France, the United Kingdom, and Ireland. The company was founded in 1972 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.

Monday, February 10, 2014

Facebook's Mark Zuckerberg Biggest Giver in 2013

Facebook's Mark Zuckerberg biggest giver in 2013Pete Marovich/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesFacebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg SEATTLE -- Mark Zuckerberg and his wife, Priscilla Chan, were the most generous American philanthropists in 2013, with a donation of 18 million shares of Facebook (FB) stock, valued at more than $970 million, to a Silicon Valley nonprofit in December. The Chronicle of Philanthropy reported Monday that Zuckerberg's donation was the largest charitable gift on the public record in 2013 and put the young couple at the top of the magazine's annual list of 50 most generous Americans in 2013. The top 50 contributors made donations last year totaling $7.7 billion, plus pledges of $2.9 billion. The Chronicle's editor says the most significant fact from the list was the amount of money coming from living donors, which totaled about the same amount as the two previous years combined. "It's a sure sign that the economy is getting better and people are getting a lot less cautious," said Stacy Palmer, Chronicle editor. Some of the nation's biggest givers do not appear on the 2013 list, not because they stopped being generous, but because their donations in 2013 were counted as pledges in previous years. For example, Microsoft (MSFT) co-founder Bill Gates and his wife, Melinda, gave their foundation slightly more than $181.3 million last year, but they were paying off a pledge of about $3.3 billion they made in 2004. CNN-founder Ted Turner and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-A) (BRK-B) chairman Warren Buffett also made large gifts toward previous pledges. It took gifts totaling at least $37.5 million to make the list this year. Forty-two of the top 50 made gifts of $50 million or more. Thirty made big gifts to colleges and universities, but Palmer noted most college gifts went to science and research this year, not to buildings, as in previous years. Ten of the 50 made the list because of bequests after their deaths, including the second biggest giver in 2013, George Mitchell, a Galveston, Texas, man who made his fortune in energy and real estate. At No. 3 were Nike chairman Philip Knight and his wife, Penelope, of Portland, Ore., who made a $500 million challenge grant to Oregon Health & Science University Foundation for cancer research. The Knight pledge requires the university match it within the next two years. No. 4 was philanthropist and former New York mayor Michael Bloomberg, who made gifts totaling $452 million in 2013 to arts, education, environment, public health and other causes. Nineteen people or couples on the list have signed the Giving Pledge, started by Bill Gates and Warren Buffett in 2010. More than 120 of the world's wealthiest individuals and families have pledged to give at least half their wealth to charity since the movement began.

5 Rocket Stocks to Buy for a Market Bounce

BALTIMORE (Stockpickr) -- The S&P 500 ended last week 0.81% higher, putting an end to the worst month for stocks since the first half of 2012. One thing's clear from this recent correction: Investors have forgotten what it's like to see downside.

>>5 Dividend Stocks That Want to Give You a Raise in 2014

In fact, while January "felt" like a major move lower for stocks, the selling only moved U.S. markets around 5% off from all-time highs. A catastrophic selloff this wasn't.

But the good news is that it didn't have to be. The correction in stocks was as predictable as last week's bounce was. Now, with the S&P coming off the heels of two strong buying days on Thursday and Friday, we're in for a bounce week.

So it makes sense to bring out your buy list today. To do that, we're turning to a new set of "Rocket Stock" names worth buying.

>>5 Big Trades to Take in February

For the uninitiated, "Rocket Stocks" are our list of companies with short-term gain catalysts and longer-term growth potential. To find them, I run a weekly quantitative screen that seeks out stocks with a combination of analyst upgrades and positive earnings surprises to identify rising analyst expectations, a bullish signal for stocks in any market. After all, where analysts' expectations are increasing, institutional cash often follows. In the last 235 weeks, our weekly list of five plays has outperformed the S&P 500 by 84.47%.

Without further ado, here's a look at this week's Rocket Stocks.

Walgreen

First up is Walgreen (WAG), the nation's biggest retail pharmacy chain. The last year has been stellar for shareholders of the $58 billion drugstore. In the last 12 months, shares of WAG have rallied more than 47%, largely on the strength of the overall healthcare sector. But it's early to say that Walgreen's relative performance is over.

>>5 Stocks Poised for Breakouts

It may not seem like it, but your local drugstore is at the center of a major shakeup. That's because the business has had to react to major regulatory changes thanks to health care reform, it's dealt with consolidations of the country's biggest pharmacy benefit managers, and it's shifted to put a lot more emphasis on service revenue from in-store clinics. But all of those changes should be net positives for Walgreen shareholders. More than two-thirds of WAG's sales come from prescription drugs, a substantial concentration given the fact that most of each Walgreen's store is dedicated to other items. The more grocery, health and beauty items WAG sells, the better its defenses from regulatory headwinds become.

Walgreen's biggest defense is its store footprint: The firm has approximately 8,600 stores spread across the U.S., casting a big enough net to reach three quarters of the population. Because pharmacy customers tend to be sticky for individual brands, that scale gives WAG some big advantages.

With rising analyst sentiment in shares of Walgreen this week, we're betting on shares.

Facebook

Facebook (FB) is another name whose fortunes are tied to its reach. The $163 billion social network is visited by more than 750 million people each day -- and they spend more time on the site than any other. In 2014, Facebook is all about monetizing that huge user base more effectively.

>>5 Toxic Stocks to Sell Now

There's an important difference between the model at Facebook and the models of other ad-driven Internet businesses such as Google (GOOG) or LinkedIn (LNKD). While those companies' ads help users find what they're looking for, Facebook's business is predicated on distracting users from snooping on their friends. That's a difference that, in my view, warrants a discount on FB shares vs. peers. But what FB lacks in its model, it makes up for in size -- and added emphasis on direct revenue drivers (such as games) should help improve where the firm is lacking.

Likewise, the extremely targeted information Facebook owns about its users should help the company command premium prices for advertisers courting more specialized niches. Mobile is a critical growth avenue for Facebook right now. The firm was knocked for not embracing mobile users quickly enough, but growth in mobile has been breakneck ever since. Most significantly, its mobile advertising efforts have caught up with its mobile platform offerings. Expect mobile to continue to matter most in 2014.

Activision Blizzard

Video game giant Activision Blizzard (ATVI) capped off last week with big gains, after reporting fourth-quarter results that stomped investors' expectations. The start of a new console cycle with the Xbox One and PlayStation 4 should be a big tailwind for console game makers such as Activision. Historically, new console offerings translate into dramatic increases in game sales.

>>2 Tech Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume

Activision Blizzard is the largest video game publisher in the world, a crown it wears thanks to blockbuster franchises like Call of Duty, World of Warcraft, and Diablo. More than size, Activision's model is what really sets it apart. The firm is the leader in subscription-based online multiplayer games such as World of Warcraft -- with WoW, around 8 million subscribers pay a monthly fee to play the game online with other players in real time.

That subscription component provides ATVI with recurring, high-margin revenues. Those revenues are sticky too, since players have huge sunk costs in building characters and attaining status in a game. If Activision can successfully bring that model to other franchises that have been successful with conventional sales, expect big things.

ATVI has been working hard to return value to shareholders, even at the expense of its short-term balance sheet positioning. In October, it closed a deal to purchase 40% of its outstanding shares from Vivendi for $5.8 billion. While the move wiped out Activision's huge net cash position, the firm's high levels of profitability should get that manageable debt load paid down quickly.

Coca-Cola

Beverage behemoth Coca-Cola (KO) made big news last week, when it announced that it was acquiring a 10% stake in Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR) and penning a deal to exclusively market Coke pods in GMCR's upcoming Keurig Cold drink appliances. For now, at-home Coke machines are a side business. Coke's mainline beverage business is still the force to be reckoned with.

>>4 Big Stocks to Trade (or Not)

Coca-Cola is the largest beverage company in the world. Each day, 1.65 billion Coke products get consumed, an impressive feat that's accomplished thanks to a distribution network that's second to none. Coke's distribution network reaches more than 200 countries, giving the firm infrastructure that's extremely difficult to replicate and provides for lower per-unit distribution costs for new product offerings.

Right now, Coke's most exciting prospects are in emerging markets. As middle class populations continue to swell in countries like China, India and Brazil, average consumption of branded beverages is swelling too. And even though Coke's scale is immense right now, the untapped market in developing countries is enough to materially impact the value of shares in the years ahead.

With rising analyst sentiment in Coke this week, we're betting on shares.

Yahoo!

Don't discount Yahoo! (YHOO). Yes, the $37 billion internet giant has made some very conspicuous mistakes in the past, and no, the ship hasn't been as quick to turn as many investors were counting on. But that doesn't change the fact that Yahoo! remains an immensely valuable business in 2014.

Yahoo! still owns some of the most heavily trafficked websites on the internet. While the firm lost its title as the standard bearer in web searches long ago (and since then offloaded its developing search algorithms to Microsoft (MSFT)), the firm still makes 36% of its revenues from search ads. Another 43% of sales come from display ads on web properties like Yahoo! Mail and Tumblr. Despite all its detractors, Yahoo!'s legacy business still makes a lot of money.

So do its investments. The firm's 24% stake in Alibaba Group has been a major coup -- it's helped to solidify Yahoo's balance sheet, and frankly make the firm's revenue generation abilities a whole lot less relevant. Despite an acquisition spree under CEO Marissa Mayer, Yahoo still sports a net cash position of $7.2 billion, enough to pay for nearly 20% of the firm's outstanding shares at current prices. That's a whole lot of risk reduction for investors, even after an 81% rally in the last 12 months. Look for that momentum to carry over into this year.

To see all of this week's Rocket Stocks in action, check out the Rocket Stocks portfolio at Stockpickr.

-- Written by Jonas Elmerraji in Baltimore.


RELATED LINKS:



>>5 Biotech Stocks Spiking on Unusual Volume



>>5 Stocks Under $10 Set to Soar



>>5 Stocks Insiders Love Right Now

Follow Stockpickr on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

At the time of publication, author had no positions in the stocks mentioned.

Jonas Elmerraji, CMT, is a senior market analyst at Agora Financial in Baltimore and a contributor to

TheStreet. Before that, he managed a portfolio of stocks for an investment advisory returned 15% in 2008. He has been featured in Forbes , Investor's Business Daily, and on CNBC.com. Jonas holds a degree in financial economics from UMBC and the Chartered Market Technician designation.

Follow Jonas on Twitter @JonasElmerraji


Saturday, February 8, 2014

Is a mini correction over already for stocks?

Is the mini stock market correction over?

On Monday, the Dow Jones industrial average looked like it was in big trouble, seemingly on the verge of its first major breakdown since the summer of 2011, when it fell hard after the USA was stripped of its triple-A credit rating. It kicked off this week with a 326-point downdraft, its biggest drop in seven months. It was staring at a year-to-date loss of 7.3%. It appeared to be crumbling under the weight of turbulence in emerging markets, signs of a manufacturing slowdown at home, and a growing feeling that the bullish vibe that's been in place since 2009 and which turned giddy in 2013 was fading fast.

By Friday, after back-to-back days of triple-digit point gains totaling 354 points, the Dow had regained some of its swagger. It erased all of Monday's losses and slashed its 2014 loss to 4.7%. It also shrugged off a second straight month of weaker-than-expected job gains.

The rebound was so swift and so surprising that it had Wall Street suddenly asking if the lousy start to 2014 was finally winding down?

The jury is still out on whether the worst is over for stocks.

Where the bulls and bears collide is on the question of whether the U.S. economy will continue to heal and provide enough of a tailwind for a stock market that is no longer undervalued after posting its best year in 2013 since the late 1990s.

"The correction is correcting itself, thanks to investor confidence in the strength of the U.S. economy," says Joe Quinlan, chief market strategist at U.S. Trust. "The big move down in the U.S. is behind us."

Even though the U.S. economy only generated 113,000 jobs in January, well below the 180,000 or so expected, Wall Street bulls are still betting that once the wintry weather exits, the U.S. economy will fare just fine.

With much of the emerging market angst already priced into stock prices and U.S. corporate earnings holding up fine, bulls point to the continued health of the services component of the economy! , and the fact that the unemployment rate, now 6.6%, and the number of folks filing for unemployment benefits for the first-time continue to fall.

No so fast, says hedge fund manager Todd Schoenberger, managing partner at LandColt Capital.

Recent signs of a manufacturing slowdown and job market weakness are indications of trouble, he says, adding that investors are betting on the Federal Reserve bailing out markets yet again.

"Is the correction over? Absolutely not! (This) is a sucker's rally," says Schoenberger. "Markets are rallying on false hope that the economy and future earnings reports will be strong enough to sustain a 2014 bull market. The key takeaway here: Buyer beware!"

If anything, the market already appears to be in a bottoming process, adds Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at Wells Capital Management. Stocks have been refreshed by the sell-off, as price-to-earnings ratios have come down by a full point, bond yields are lower and investor optimism has cooled, he says.

"I think the basic force ending the sell-off is evidence that economic momentum in the U.S. economy remains OK," says Paulsen.

Friday, February 7, 2014

'Cramming' phone scams targeted by state…

States are stepping up efforts to help consumers who find mysterious, and usually bogus, charges on their phone bills.

Some 12,500 Vermont households and businesses are receiving refund checks this month totaling more than $900,000 for illegitimate charges that appeared on their landline phone bills.

These victims of "cramming" got their money back as part of a $1.6 million settlement between the state and 25 sellers of voicemail, email and other services. But in many cramming cases, people don't get refunds—and might not even know they were swindled at all.

As many as 20 million people are crammed each year, but only about 1 in 20 realizes it, the Federal Communications Commission estimates. Cellphone and landline cramming could cost consumers up to $2 billion a year.

Vermont and Illinois are the only states that ban third-party charges on landline phone bills. But state attorneys general from 43 other states are joining an effort to tackle the growing problem of cramming on cellphones. More than one-third of American homes (35.8 percent) had only wireless phones in 2012, up from less than 5 percent in 2003, government data show.

Cramming charges easy to overlook

Cellphone cramming often begins when a consumer receives a text message with an offer to enter a contest. By replying, the consumer unknowingly signs up for a monthly, weekly or daily service that provides the latest weather, traffic, news, sports or celebrity gossip. The charge for this "service" ends up on the consumer's cellphone bill, often labeled as a "premium text message."

Some cramming charges can be as small as $2 or $3 per month and easy to overlook, but others can total as much as $24.95. Even consumers who do not text have been crammed. Often, these consumers are elderly.

The elimination of cellphone cramming should be "a consumer protection priority," attorneys general from 40 states said in a letter they sent earlier this summer to the Federal Trade Commission. The effort was led! by Vermont Attorney General William H. Sorrell, a Democrat, and Indiana Attorney General Greg Zoeller, a Republican.

Texas case gets noticed

Texas Attorney General Greg Abbott, a Republican, last month filed a lawsuit against four "content providers" who were behind a cramming scam. But Abbott also sued a company, Mobile Messenger U.S. Inc., that handled billing for cellphone carriers. Abbott's expanded focus has attracted the attention of wireless carriers, the cellphone industry and other states.

"Rather than acting as a gatekeeper to keep the bad content providers out as expected by the carriers, Mobile Messenger continues to facilitate the deceptive conduct by allowing the defendant content providers to continue to deceptively bill consumers," Texas said in its lawsuit.

Wireless carriers do not usually interact directly with content providers, but they do enter into contracts with companies such as Mobile Messenger.

“Carriers have allowed third parties to use mobile billing to charge for their services– services most consumers did not want and may not have even noticed”

— Chris Koster, Mo. attorney general

Two weeks after Texas filed its lawsuit, three major wireless carriers — AT&T Mobility, Sprint and T-Mobile — said they would no longer charge their customers for commercial "premium text messages," which account for the overwhelming majority of cramming complaints.

The announcement also came amid ongoing talks between the wireless carriers and attorneys general from 45 states, led by Vermont, with Delaware, Florida, Maryland, Oregon, Texas and Washington.

The AGs consider the development a major breakthrough in the fight against mobile cramming. "This is a victory for cellphone users" across the nation, Sorrell said. "We are pleased that AT&T, Sprint and T-Mobile have decided to stop the flow of money from the pockets of ordinary people to the bank accounts of scam artists."

Verizon Wireless said that while it didn! 't agree ! with all of the allegations levied by the attorneys general, it is sympathetic to anti-cramming efforts. The company said it was already in the process of winding down its premium messaging business, in part, because of "recent allegations that third parties have engaged in improper conduct in providing premium messaging services to our customers."

T-Mobile said that despite protections and processes put in place, not all vendors have acted responsibly. As a result, the company is ending all billing for premium text message except for charitable and political giving. T-Mobile made clear in its fact sheet that consumers could still text to vote for "American Idol" and participate in text message campaigns, such as Text to Give for the Red Cross or another cause.

The attorney generals said they would work with other carriers to encourage them to take the same steps that AT&T, Sprint, and T-Mobile have agreed to take.

"Carriers have allowed third parties to use mobile billing to charge for their services– services most consumers did not want and may not have even noticed," Missouri Attorney General Chris Koster, a Republican, said. "It is time for this practice to stop."


Stateline is a nonpartisan, nonprofit news service of the Pew Charitable Trusts that provides daily reporting and analysis on trends in state policy.

5 Stocks Under $10 Set to Soar

DELAFIELD, Wis. (Stockpickr) -- There isn't a day that goes by on Wall Street when certain stocks trading for $10 a share or less don't experience massive spikes higher. Traders savvy enough to follow the low-priced names and trade them with discipline and sound risk management are banking ridiculous coin on a regular basis.

>>5 Big Trades to Take in February

Just take a look at some of the hot movers in the under-$10 complex from Thursday, including Prima Biomed (PBMD), which is skyrocketing higher by 47%; Glu Mobile (GLUU), which is soaring higher by 24%; Monster Worldwide (MWW), which is ripping higher by 22%; and RealD (RLD), which is spiking higher by 13%. You don't even have to catch the entire move in lower-priced stocks such as these to make outsized returns when trading.

One low-priced stock that recently soared sharply higher after I featured it was China-based medical components player Dehaier Medical Systems (DHRM), which I highlighted in Jan. 16's "5 Stocks Under $10 Set to Soar" at around $4.75 per share. I mentioned in that piece that shares of Dehaier Medical Systems had been uptrending strong recently, with the stock moving higher from its low of $2 a share to its high of $4.80 a share. During that move, shares of DHRM were consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. That move had pushed shares of DHRM within range of triggering a major breakout trade above some near-term overhead resistance levels at $4.80 to $4.85 a share.

>>5 Low-Priced Stocks to Trade for Gains

Guess what happened? Shares of Dehaier Medical Systems didn't wait long to trigger that breakout, since the stock started to bust above those key resistance levels the same day my article was published was heavy upside volume. This stock has continued to soar higher since taking out those levels, with shares tagging an intraday high today of $6.36 a share. That represents a monster gain of close to 40% in just a few weeks for anyone who went long DHRM into the breakout strength. You can see here how a low-priced stock can make a monster move once it clears key resistance levels with high volume.

Low-priced stocks are something that I tweet about on a regular basis. I frequently flag high-probability setups, breakout candidates and low-priced stocks that are acting technically bullish. I like to hunt for low-priced stocks that are showing bullish price and volume trends, since that increases the probability of those stocks heading higher. These setups often produce monster moves higher in very short time frames.

I'm not as eager to recommend investing long-term in stocks that trade less than $10 a share because these names can be very speculative, and the odds for picking the long-term winners aren't great. But I definitely love to trade stocks that are priced below $10. I like to view them as a trading vehicle with lots of volatility and lots of upside when the trade is timed right.

>>3 Stocks Breaking Out on Unusual Volume

When I trade under-$10 names, I do it almost entirely based off of the charts and technical analysis. I also like to find under-$10 names with a catalyst, but that's secondary to the chart and volume patterns.

With that in mind, here's a look at several under-$10 stocks that look poised to potentially trade higher from current levels.

Acasti Pharma


One under-$10 biotechnology player that's starting to move within range of triggering a major breakout trade is Acasti Pharma (ACST), which focuses on the research, development and commercialization of new therapies for abnormalities in blood lipids, and the treatment and prevention of cardiovascular disorders. This stock has been destroyed by the bears over the last six months, with shares down sharply by 67%.

>>4 Big Stocks on Traders' Radars

If you take a look at the chart for Acasti Pharma, you'll notice that this stock has been consolidating and trending sideways for the last two months, with shares moving between $1.09 on the downside and $1.56 a share on the upside. This stock is starting to spike higher today and flirt with its 50-day moving average of $1.27 a share. That spike is quickly pushing shares of ACST within range of triggering a major breakout trade above the upper-end of its recent sideways trading chart pattern.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in ACST if it manages to break out above some near-term overhead resistance levels at $1.32 a share and then once it clears more resistance at $1.54 to $1.56 a share with high volume. Look for a sustained move or close above those levels with volume that hits near or above its three-month average volume of 425,658 shares. If that breakout triggers soon, then ACST will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $2 to $2.20, or even its 200-day moving average at $2.31 a share.

Traders can look to buy ACST off any weakness to anticipate that breakout and simply use a stop that sits right below some key near-term support levels at $1.20 to $1.17 a share, or down near $1.10 a share. One can also buy ACST off strength once it starts to take out those breakout levels with volume and then simply use a stop that sits a comfortable percentage from your entry point.

Recon Technology


Another under-$10 energy player that's starting to trend within range of triggering a major breakout trade is Recon Technology (RCON), which provides hardware, software and on-site services to companies in the petroleum mining and extraction industry in the People's Republic of China. This stock is off to a blazing start in 2014, with shares up sharply by 49%.

>>5 Stocks Insiders Love Right Now

If you take a look at the chart for Recon Technology, you'll notice that this stock has been uptrending very strong over the last two months, with shares soaring higher from its low of $2.84 to its recent high of $5.06 a share. During that uptrend, shares of RCON have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. This stock also recently crossed back above its 50-day moving average, which is bullish technical price action. Shares of RCON are now starting to trend within range of triggering a major breakout trade above some key overhead resistance levels.

Market players should now look for long-biased trades in RCON if it manages to break out above some near-term overhead resistance levels at $4.75 to $5.06 a share and then once it clears its 52-week high at $5.80 a share with high volume. Look for a sustained move or close above those levels with volume that hits near or above its three-month average action of 178,784 shares. If that breakout hits soon, then RCON will set up to enter new 52-week-high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that breakout are $8 to $10 a share.

Traders can look to buy RCON off any weakness to anticipate that breakout and simply use a stop that sits right around some key near-term support at $4 or at its 50-day moving average of $3.59 a share. One can also buy RCON off strength once it starts to clear those breakout levels with volume and then simply use a stop that sits a comfortable percentage from your entry point.

Zogenix


One under-$10 health care player that's starting to trend within range of triggering a big breakout trade is Zogenix (ZGNX), which engages in the development and commercialization of products for the treatment of central nervous system disorders and pain. This stock has been exploding higher over the last six months, with shares up sharply by 170%.

>>3 Stocks Spiking on Big Volume

If you take a look at the chart for Zogenix, you'll notice that this stock has been uptrending strong for the last six months, with shares moving higher from its low of $1.50 to its recent high of $4.65 a share. During that uptrend, shares of ZGNX have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. That move has now pushed shares of ZGNX within range of triggering a big breakout trade above some key near-term overhead resistance levels.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in ZGNX if it manages to break out above some near-term overhead resistance levels at $4.50 to $4.55 a share and then once it takes out its 52-week high a $4.65 a share with high volume. Look for a sustained move or close above those levels with volume that hits near or above its three-month average volume of 2.44 million shares. If that breakout triggers soon, then ZGNX will set up to enter new 52-week-high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that breakout are $6 to $7 a share.

Traders can look to buy ZGNX off weakness to anticipate that breakout and simply use a stop that sits just below its 50-day moving average at $3.66 a share, or around more support at $3.25 a share. One can also buy ZGNX off strength once it starts to take out those breakout levels with volume and then simply use a stop that sits a comfortable percentage from your entry point.

Rexahn Pharmaceuticals


Another under-$10 biotechnology player that's quickly moving within range of triggering a major breakout trade is Rexahn Pharmaceuticals (RNN), which engages in the discovery, development and commercialization of treatments for cancer, central nervous system disorders, sexual dysfunction, and other medical needs. This stock is off to an explosive start in 2014, with shares up a whopping 119%.

>>5 Ways to Invest Like a Pension Fund

If you take a look at the chart for Rexahn Pharmaceuticals, you'll notice that this stock has been consolidating and trending sideways over the last month, with shares moving between 86 cents per share on the downside and $1.24 a share on the upside. Shares of RNN are starting to spike higher today right off some near-term support at $1 a share. That spike is quickly pushing shares of RNN within range of triggering a major breakout trade above the upper-end of its recent sideways trading chart pattern.

Market players should now look for long-biased trades in RNN if it manages to break out above some near-term overhead resistance levels at $1.20 to $1.24 a share with high volume. Look for a sustained move or close above those levels with volume that hits near or above its three-month average action of 7.79 million shares. If that breakout hits soon, then RNN will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $1.60 to its 52-week high at $1.85 a share. Any high-volume move above those levels will then give RNN a chance to tag $2 to $2.20 a share.

Traders can look to buy RNN off weakness to anticipate that breakout and simply use a stop that sits just below some key near-term supports at $1 to 86 cents per share. One can also buy RNN off strength once it starts to clear those breakout levels with volume and then simply use a stop that sits a comfortable percentage from your entry point.

Verso Paper


One final under-$10 basic materials player that's starting to trend within range of triggering a big breakout trade is Verso Paper (VRS), which engages in the production and sale of coated papers in the U.S. This stock is off to a monster start in 2014, with shares up a ridiculous amount of 371%.

If you take a look at the chart for Verso Paper, you'll notice that this stock has recently pulled back from its high of $5.55 a share to its low of $1.96 a share. During that sharp fall, shares of VRS have been consistently making lower highs and lower lows, which is bearish technical price action. That said, shares of VRS have now started to rebound sharply off that $1.96 low and the stock is starting to push within range of triggering a big breakout trade.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in VRS if it manages to break out above some near-term overhead resistance levels at $3.32 to $3.40 a share with high volume. Look for a sustained move or close above those levels with volume that hits near or above its three-month average action of 608,131 shares. If that breakout hits soon, then VRS will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $4 to $4.56 a share. Any high-volume move above those levels will then give VRS a chance to re-test its 52-week high at $5.55 a share.

Traders can look to buy VRS off weakness to anticipate that breakout and simply use a stop that sits right below some key near-term support levels at $2.80 or at $2.50 a share. One can also buy VRS off strength once it starts to take out those breakout levels with volume and then simply use a stop that sits a comfortable percentage from your entry point.

To see more hot under-$10 equities, check out the Stocks Under $10 Setting Up to Explode portfolio on Stockpickr.

-- Written by Roberto Pedone in Delafield, Wis.


RELATED LINKS:



>>5 Rocket Stocks to Buy in February



>>Where's the S&P Headed From Here? Higher!



>>4 Tech Stocks Spiking on Big Volume

Follow Stockpickr on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

At the time of publication, author had no positions in stocks mentioned.

Roberto Pedone, based out of Delafield, Wis., is an independent trader who focuses on technical analysis for small- and large-cap stocks, options, futures, commodities and currencies. Roberto studied international business at the Milwaukee School of Engineering, and he spent a year overseas studying business in Lubeck, Germany. His work has appeared on financial outlets including

CNBC.com and Forbes.com. You can follow Pedone on Twitter at www.twitter.com/zerosum24 or @zerosum24.