Thursday, January 29, 2015

FireEye Surges on Acquisition Deal

Investors of FireEye (NASDAQ: FEYE) are off to a great start in 2014.

On Friday, cyber security firm FireEye announced it has acquired Mandiant, a computer forensics specialist firm in a $1.05 billion deal.

Mandiant is most famous for releasing a report in February 2013 documenting evidence of cyber attacks by a secretive Chinese military unit (known as APT1) on U.S. companies.

The acquisition brings together two of the most respected executives in the cyber security industry.

FireEye's Dave DeWalt a former chief executive at McAfee has over 25 years of industry experience. Mandiant's Kevin Mandia is a retired military cyber-crime investigator, who revealed to the world a 76 page report based on seven years of research detailing the worldwide scope of Chinese government sanctioned hacking.

Related: Berkshire Hathaway Now Owns 27% of USG

The two companies have worked together in the past and have entered a technology development agreement making it easier to deploy their products together. DeWalt previously referred to Mandiant's team of experts as being "Navy 'cyber' Seals." The majority of Mandiant's staff consists of retired intelligence and law enforcement agents specializing in computer forensics.

Raising guidance

FireEye has yet to become a profitable company, but raised its guidance following the acquisition announcement.

The company raised its fourth quarter 2013 guidance with billings now pegged at $95 million to $100 million, compared to a previous guidance in the $82 million to $86 million range. The company is also projecting higher revenues in a $55 million to $57 million range from a previous projection of $52 million to $54 million.

FireEye also raised its 2014 outlook, which includes the Mandiant acquisition. The company sees full-year billings in a $540 million to $560 million range, higher than previous estimates of $350 million to $370 million. Revenue projections now stand at $400 million to $410 million, up from previous projections of $240 million to $250 million.

Several analysts viewed the deal as a strategic positive for FireEye. One analyst from Nomura suggested the deal will usher in a wider entry by FireEye into the IPS sector.

Shares of FireEye were trading higher by more than 30 percent in Friday morning's trading action.

Posted-In: APT1 Chinese Hacking Cybersecurity DaveDeWAlt FireEye Kevin Mandia Mandiant McAfeeNews Contracts Management Hot Markets Best of Benzinga

(c) 2014 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

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Wednesday, January 28, 2015

Tesla Plant Accident Not a Fire

What was first reported as a fire on Wednesday afternoon at the Tesla Motors Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) has now been explained by the company as a failure in a low-pressure aluminum casting press. Three Tesla employees were injured by hot metal from that press and the company said that it is making sure that they receive the "best possible care."

The report of a fire was apparently confirmed by the Fremont, California, fire department and was tweeted at 1:46 p.m. PT. Fire department equipment was dispatched to Tesla's factory.

Fire has got to be a pretty touchy subject around Tesla these days following three fires in the company's Model S sedans in the past six weeks. Three car fires may not be enough for an in-depth government investigation or a recall, however it would not take many more similar fires, or an actual injury, to force CEO Elon Musk to change his mind, or have it changed for him.

Not only does the public expect the cars to be flawless, but the hype surrounding the company leads us to believe that the company itself is without blemish. And just as a car with thousands of parts can never be flawless, neither can an automaker with thousands of employees.

Tesla stock did not move much in after-hours trading following the incident. The stock is up about 0.3% at $139.05 after closing at $138.70 in a 52-week range of $30.50 to $194.50.

Jeffrey Saut of Raymond James: Stock market trend remains up

market Jeffrey D. Saut

“The Boys Are Back in Town”

Guess who just got back today?

Them wild-eyed boys that had been away

Haven't changed, haven't much to say

But man, I still think them cats are crazy

They were asking if you were around

How you was, where you could be found

Told them you were living downtown

Driving all the old men crazy

The boys are back in town

The boys are back in town

... Thin Lizzy (1976)

The boys are indeed back in town as Washington D.C. opened its doors for business as usual last week following a contentious debt ceiling debate and a 16-day shutdown of the government. This outcome had been anticipated in these letters for often-stated reasons, and just like when the ”fiscal cliff” was averted, I now expect the media to turn its focus to the next Armageddon. While the self-inflicted crisis took the amateurish rollout of Obamacare out of the headlines, it will likely have a de minimis effect on the economy (maybe shave 0.03 – 0.04% off of the official GDP figures). The good news is that except for this week's delayed September employment report, I doubt investors will pay much attention to any of the other economic reports between now and Christmas due to the recent Beltway consternations and their expectation about the potential impact on the economy.

As for the impact on the stock market, it was profound with the S&P 500 (SPX/1744.50), the mid-cap S&P 400, and the small-cap Russell 2000 trading to new all-time highs. While there were some upside non-confirmations (most notably the D-J Industrial Average), the majority of indications confirmed the move higher. For example, the Advance/Decline Line climbed to a new bull market high, the Selling Pressure Index fell to a new reaction low, the short-term “buy signal” I spoke of on October 15th remains in force (when the 14-day Stochastic crossed above its moving average), the Short-Term Trading Index confirms that “buy signal,” the number of new highs on the NYSE expanded, and the list goes on. Such metrics caused the “godfather of technical analysis,” namely Ralph Acampora, t! o abandon his bearish “call” of last summer. Recall that like me, Ralph was looking for a short/intermediate-term stock market peak in the mid-July through mid-August timeframe. At the time I was expecting a decline of roughly 10%. And, we were about halfway into that 10% pullback when Vladimir Putin pulled our President out of a tight spot with Putin's Syrian solution. At that point I mainly gave up on my downside “call” and recommended recommitting 15% of the cash that was raised in June. Since then, while the equity markets have been choppy, they have refused to surrender much ground. As stated in last Thursday's Morning Tack, “With the debt ceiling debates behind us, the markets can focus on earnings, economics, and the Federal Reserve.” To that trifecta, the story is pretty good.

On the earnings front, the bottom up operating earnings estimate for the SPX is currently $107.58, leaving the SPX's P/E ratio at almost 16x. Next year's estimate is $121.66. If the SPX continues to trade at that P/E multiple it renders a price target of 1946. Moreover, so far of the 190 companies that have reported earnings, 60.5% of those companies have beaten estimates and 50.9% have beaten revenue estimates. As far as economics, as stated the numbers are probably going to be ignored for a few months because of the shutdown. However, I believe GDP growth will accelerate to 3% in 2014 driven by a capital expenditure cycle because companies like GM are running their plants flat out 24/7 and the equipment is wearing out. Finally, with Janet Yellen at the helm of the Fed it should be steady as you go. That implies no tapering and plenty of liquidity. And, a number of other things are going right in this country.

While the politicians do not want to broadcast it, the latest monthly CBO report shows tax revenues up 13% year/year and individual income tax payments up an amazing 15.8%. Further, payroll taxes are better by 11.6%, all of which have cut the CBO's 2013 estimate of the deficit! to $642 ! billion. Part of the reason for that deficit reduction is because median family annual incomes have stabilized for the first time since the recession to an inflation-adjusted $51,017. Another reason is that the U.S. is on track to overtake Russia as the world's largest producer of oil and natural gas. Of course the reason for that energy leap is the technologies of fracking and horizontal drilling. Interestingly, the research firm IHS Global Insights notes fracking has added the equivalent of $1,200 to real household disposable income on average in 2012 and estimates that figure will grow to $3,500 by 2025. Further, fracking added $283 billion to economic growth last year and is expected to add $533 billion in 2025 with an attendant federal/state tax payment of $138 billion. The relative resulting “cheap” energy estimates are causing foreign companies to invest, or are planning to invest, billions of dollars in plants that would churn out chemicals, fertilizers, plastics, metals, etc. Obviously, the American Industrial Renaissance (AIR) is happening. A few of the ways to participate in this renaissance is through Rich Bernstein and either of the mutual funds he manages for Eaton Vance, Richard Bernstein Equity Strategy Fund (ERBAX/$13.62) and the Richard Bernstein All Asset Strategy Fund (EARAX/$12.24). As for a pure play (100%) on AIR, there is First Trust's Richard Bernstein TS American Industrial Renaissance ETF (FWRVLX/$10.17).

Another theme we have embraced for the past two years has been the recovery in housing. Recently many investors have cooled on this theme due to the rise in mortgage rates. However, mortgage rates have declined over the past few weeks. A second derivative way to get at the burgeoning housing theme is via Strong Buy-rated Weyerhaeuser (WY/$30.11). As our fundamental analyst writes in the commentary for our Analysts' Current Favorites product, released earlier today:

We believe: 1) the embedded value of Weyerhaeuser's homebuilding platform is underappreciate! d relativ! e to other public builder valuations (most notably, the 17,700 lots it controls in California); 2) the recent underperformance of WY shares has created a buying opportunity; and 3) in the context of our REIT coverage, there are relatively few opportunities to find similar long-term earnings/cash flow growth stories. In our view, Weyerhaeuser's homebuilding platform (one of the 20 largest in the country), significant wood products business, and immense timberland portfolio position it as a compelling alternative to pure-play homebuilders in this housing recovery. Weyerhaeuser is targeting a payout of 75% of FAD over the cycle and is well positioned to raise its dividend as the housing recovery gains momentum. The company has already boosted its dividend by 33% since October (WY shares currently yield ~3%).

The call for this week: According to the weight of the evidence, the primary stock market trend remains “up!” Indeed, last Thursday's gain, while not a 90% Upside Day, was indeed an 80% Upside Day as the market breadth, and total points gained, were decidedly positive. Manifestly, since 1940 there have only been 45 other days when 80% of issues and volume were positive and the SPX closed at a new 52-week high (like happened last week). Of those, only seven occurred two days in a row. According to the must have SentimenTrader folks, “To get more precedents, let's look for any time that both the percentage of up issues and volume were both above 75%, with the last one occurring on a day the S&P closed at a new high. In 73 years, there have been 17 precedents. A week later, there were only three negative returns, and two of those were less than -0.5%. Three months later, there was essentially only one negative return, as was the case six months later was well. Average returns were about double what a random return was during the study period.” Verily, the only current negatives are the short-term overbought condition and the upside non-confirmations.

Jeffrey D. Saut is managing! director! at Raymond James & Associates. This commentary originally appeared on the firm's website. Like what yo

Monday, January 26, 2015

Knight Capital Agrees to $12 Million Settlement for 2012 Errors

Securities regulators fined Knight Capital Americas LLC $12 million for the trading malfunction that roiled the U.S. stock market in August 2012, saying the firm ignored dozens of error messages before its computers bombarded exchanges with millions of unintended orders.

Knight, which in July joined with Getco LLC to form KCG Holdings Inc. (KCG) after losing more than $460 million because of the error, agreed to settle charges stemming from mistakes made on Aug. 1, 2012, according to a statement today from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The regulator said Knight violated the SEC's market access rule, instituted in 2010 to prevent these kinds of trading missteps.

The administrative order outlining the settlement painted Knight not as a victim of computers gone haywire, but as a firm that failed to test its systems adequately or prepare for potential breakdowns. Knight's mistakes led to it making more than 4 million trades in response to only 212 orders from investors, for a total of 397 million shares changing hands. That prompted the losses that brought Knight to its knees.

"Knight's system of risk management controls and supervisory procedures was not reasonably designed to manage the risk of its market access," the SEC said in the order released today. "Knight's internal reviews were inadequate, its annual CEO certification for 2012 was defective, and its written description of its risk management controls was insufficient."

Messages Ignored

The SEC found that Jersey City, New Jersey-based Knight didn't have adequate safeguards, didn't act on error messages, and didn't have guidelines for responding to such issues. The mistakes were the result of human, not computer, errors, said Daniel Hawke, chief of the SEC Division of Enforcement's Market Abuse Unit.

The SEC sees a distinction between "calling something a glitch that is inevitable in many technology systems and applications versus something that is about failure to adopt controls that are reasonably designed to manage the risks associated, in this case, with market access," Hawke said during a conference call today with reporters.

Knight's system generated 97 e-mails alerting staff to problems before the markets opened on Aug. 1, 2012, the SEC said. These notifications were not acted upon by employees of the broker-dealer, according to the regulator.

"Although Knight Capital did not design these messages to be system alerts, they provided an opportunity to identify and fix the problem before the markets opened," the SEC said.

Knight's losses required it to seek emergency financing and ultimately merge with Getco.

'Rapid Pace'

"Given the rapid pace of trading in today's markets and the potential massive impact of control breakdowns, broker-dealers must be held to the high standards of compliance necessary for the safe and orderly operation of the markets," Andrew Ceresney, co-director of the SEC's Division of Enforcement, said in the statement announcing the settlement.

"We are pleased to put the events that occurred at Knight Capital on Aug. 1, 2012, behind us," Sophie Sohn, a KCG spokeswoman, said in an e-mail. "KCG is a new company formed from the transformational merger between Knight and Getco earlier this year. KCG is committed to employing best-in-class risk management processes."

In a client letter seen by Bloomberg News, KCG outlined the changes it has made to address some of the shortcomings highlighted by the SEC. The firm now has a 24-hour risk management center with staff from all its units, automated alerts, stronger testing and certification to ensure it complies with market access rules, and a chief risk officer, KCG Chief Executive Officer Daniel Coleman told clients in the message.

New Controls

"We have developed and implemented a layered system of automated controls to monitor trading at numerous junctures within the system and automatically shut down trading activity at predetermined thresholds," he wrote.

While today's action is the SEC's first under the market access rule, it will be an important area of enforcement in the future, Ceresney told reporters during today's conference call.

"Investors should know that we will enforce the market access rule vigorously," he said. "Companies must have controls in place to guard against mistakes and the consequences of such mistakes."

Debunking the myth of the stock picker's market

Michael Daddino via Flickr Creative Commons

As if trying to time the stock market isn't hard enough, it's recently become trendy to try and predict when stock pickers will have their day in the sun again.

Both InvestmentNews and The Wall Street Journal ran articles this week about portfolio managers' and advisers' warming up to active managers because a “stock pickers” market is already here or could be right around the corner.

The “stock pickers” market, the legend goes, is driven purely by fundamentals, making it easy to pick winners and thereby kick the pants off an index.

Since the financial crisis, however, stocks have been driven by big macro events, like the eurozone crisis or the debt ceiling, making them all move in unison either up or down. That has largely rendered moot money managers' ability to pick the companies that will outperform.

At least that's the most popular excuse for why nearly three out of four large-cap mutual funds underperformed the S&P 500 from 2009 to 2012, according to Standard & Poor's.

The problem is that correlation, which measures how stocks move in relation to each other, doesn't actually tell you anything about the opportunities available to portfolio managers.

Even though correlations between stocks historically have been high, meaning stocks generally have moved in one direction — up — since the market bottomed, that doesn't mean they're moving at the same speed.

Every year since 2008, more than half the stocks in the S&P 500 have finished the year with a return of 10 percentage points or more or less than the index, according to research by The Vanguard Group Inc.

That means there are at least 250 stocks in any given year that a portfolio manager could choose to overweight or underweight to boost returns versus the index.

This year has been no different. Through Aug. 19, 262 companies have returns that are more than 10 percentage points more or less than the S&P 500's 15.4% gain, according to Lipper Inc.

For managers looking to make big bets, 165 companies from the S&P 500 have had a return of more than 10 percentage points better than the index, year-to-date. That includes well-known ones such as Netflix Inc. (up 180%), Best Buy Co Inc. (up 162%) and TripAdvisor Inc. (up 65%).

If making big bets isn't your thing, there has also been 97 companies that have underperformed the S&P 500 by more than 10 percentage points. The list includes household names like of J.C. Penney Co. Inc. (down 32.9%), U.S. Steel Corp. (down 23.9%) and Expedia Inc. (down 23.3%)

Even with the majority of stocks offering m! anagers a way to outperform one way or another, 56% of the 287 large-cap-core mutual funds tracked by Lipper are trailing so far this year, which shouldn't come as much of a surprise.

Management fees and trading costs, a general unwillingness to make big bets, and the fact that the market is hard to beat without any head winds have always been active managers' biggest problems. Correlation or lack thereof has nothing to do with those factors.

This isn't to say that everyone should be all passive all the time, but when it comes to picking an active manager, their process, their fees, and a long-time horizon should be the biggest factors in choosing them, not whether or not it's a “stock pickers” market. If you believe in active management, the data show it's always a “stock pickers” market.

Sunday, January 25, 2015

Five Years Later, Obama Pulls Punches in Financial Crisis Accountability

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Five years after Lehman Brothers' collapse, President Obama reminded Americans of the various reforms his administration has implemented, but stopped well short of placing blame on any of the people or institutions who were party to the worst U.S. financial crisis since the Great Depression.

Speaking from the White House's South Court Auditorium, the president said that since 2008, the country has managed to save the U.S. auto industry, stabilize its economy, reverse rising unemployment rates, enforce new rules on big banks and implement health care reform. [Read: Fall of the Bank Titans]

"All of this happened because of the resiliency and grit of the American people," Obama said. The president did manage to tweak the Republicans, stating that economic growth and job creation would be stronger if not for the House-led sequester.

In a speech last week to the Economic Club of New York, former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson credited the George W. Bush and Obama administrations, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and others for taking the right steps to save the United States from falling into a depression. And while a recent Gallup poll showed U.S. consumers share more positive views of the U.S. economy and the job market, their spending and confidence in the jobs they hold remain below pre-Lehman levels. [Read: Microsoft Fails In Mocking Apple] "We're not where we need to be," Obama said. The president's speech focused on the still evident hardships face by middle- and lower-income Americans, small-business owners as well as homeowners but failed to answer the question on the lips of millions of struggling citizens: Who created this situation in the first place? -- Written by Joe Deaux in New York. >Contact by Email. Follow @JoeDeaux

Graduates Keep Struggling With Private Student Loans

student loans college debt privateGerald Herber/AP Student loans have become an increasingly large portion of the debt burden that Americans face. During the past six years, consumers have paid down their outstanding balances on most forms of debt, including mortgages, credit cards and auto loans, according to the New York Federal Reserve. But student loan balances have continued to increase. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau noted earlier this year that outstanding student debt would shortly hit the $1.2 trillion mark. Most of the loans that students take are federal government loans, with various features that can include subsidies for interest payments while you're in school, fixed interest rates throughout the life of your loan, and opportunities for deferments, forbearance, and even outright loan forgiveness under certain circumstances. But even though private student loans represent a small portion of the overall loan market -- about 14 percent, according to figures from the CFPB -- the lenders that offer private loans have gotten a number of complaints from borrowers citing various problems. Let's take a look at the CFPB report that goes through types of trouble borrowers have had recently with their student lenders to find some key conclusions. 1. Lenders Want Your Business. For the most part, few borrowers cited any problems with actually a private student loan. Just 4 percent of the complaints to the CFPB had to do with obtaining loans, strongly suggesting that most of those who need financing aren't having banks turn them away. Lenders have good reasons to prefer student loans. Unlike most other forms of debt, student loans give creditors protection against discharge in bankruptcy, meaning that borrowers often have to repay their student debt even if they go bankrupt and have other debts wiped out. 2. Competition Is Limited. Looking at which lenders got the most complaints, Sallie Mae (SLM) was the winner by far, with nearly 800 complaints representing almost 40 percent of the total complaints received during the report's six-month scope. That's more than four times what the No. 2 lender received. Wells Fargo (WFC) and Discover Financial (DFS) also had more than 100 complaints each. These numbers reflect just how concentrated the market is for private student loans. Only a small number of lenders control a large portion of the industry's overall market share, according to the report. 3. Repayment Problems Are Paramount. The largest group of borrowers' complaints focused on the inability to get their lenders to agree to modifications of their loan terms. Unlike federal loans, many of which have built-in safeguards aimed at helping those in need avoid complete default, private loan borrowers often lack the right to reduce monthly payments when they're under financial stress. Moreover, some borrowers argue that their lenders haven't given them more favorable terms, such as lower interest rates, once they've built up a more favorable credit history than they had when they first took out their loans. In addition, some complaints focused on payment processing that created additional fees. For instance, when borrowers paid only a portion of the amount due on their loans, some lenders divided up the underpaid amount equally across each individual outstanding loan, resulting in far more fees than if the lender had used the payment to cover as many minimum payments as possible. Even borrowers who were able to repay their loans on time, in full, and according to their original terms had some troubles. Difficulty in having payments on multiple loans accurately applied to each required payment resulted in many complaints. In particular, when borrowers made payments that were above the minimum required monthly amount, lenders sometimes failed to apply the extra amount in the way that was most advantageous to the borrower. Moreover, promises from lenders that co-signers would be taken off loans after a certain number of payments weren't always kept, with modifications to policies having been made in some cases even after students got the loan. Be Careful With Private Loans These problems are just a few of the reasons why private student loans should generally be your last resort when it comes to financing a college education. With unattractive terms that usually make these loans more costly, the complaints about private lenders merely add insult to the injury of having to go into debt for education in the first place.

Saturday, January 24, 2015

Kia puts soundtrack to Soul at SEMA

LAS VEGAS -- Kia put a soundtrack to its hot little Soul crossover to show the potential to the little car -- and its connection to pop music.

It unveiled five Souls at the SEMA aftermarket auto parts show here Tuesday, all outfitted to show off the music industry in its myriad forms. But no hamsters, the advertising icons for the car.

"The music connection to Soul has been well established since the beginning," says Scott McKee, a Kia spokesman.

Kia says the five cars included:

Amped Soul.

A version from Popular Mechanics with "larger-than-life" JBL speakers, making it a "boom box on wheels." It has blacked out windows.

Vans Warped Tour Soul

. This one has a 50-inch TV on the roof and speakers built into the sides. A barbecue pulls out from the rear.

DJ Booth Soul.

A DJ can pop out of the foof at a moment's notice. it also has a Pioneer sound mixing system and 19 inch Rotiform BRU wheels.

Music Memorabilia Soul

. Created by Rides magazine, it includes a signed Slash guitar, a G-Unit sneaker signed by 50 Cent, a Jimi Hendrix gold album and a signed John Legend microphone.

The Voice Soul.

This red Soul takes its name from the popular TV show. There are four replicated coaches' chairs inside.

Focus Financial to Get $216M Boost From Centerbridge

Focus Financial Partners said Monday that the private equity firm Centerbridge Capital Partners would be investing $216 million in the partnership, which includes 25 independent wealth management firms.

The arrangement should close in the third quarter, with Focus partners and management retaining a majority of their ownership in the company. Focus Financial Partners’ investors, Summit Partners and Polaris Ventures, will continue as shareholders. 

Rudy Adolf“The independent RIA industry is a growing, $3.2 trillion market that continues to attract fiduciary-minded wealth managers," said Rudy Adolf (left), founder and CEO of Focus, in a press release. "As a market leader, Focus is excited about Centerbridge’s investment in the company as it further validates our model and the growth potential of our company and the industry as a whole.”

“This investment adds to our deep pool of available capital as we continue to work closely with our partner firms to support their own growth initiatives,” Adolf said. “Most importantly, Centerbridge’s investment creates liquidity for many of our shareholders at an attractive return.”

Founded in 2006 with $3.5 billion in client assets, New York-based Focus has been expanding at a fast clip by adding veteran RIA and ex-wirehouse teams. In the past 12 months, according to the partnership, Focus wrapped up 10 transactions and boosted client assets by $14 billion.

The group’s independent advisors and their practices now have some $62 billion in client assets and more than $250 million in yearly revenue.

“Consistent with other investments Centerbridge has made in market-leading businesses and industry consolidators across various industries, Focus has a strong track record, first-class management team, and a well-developed infrastructure which position it for further expansion,” said Matthew Kabaker, senior managing director at Centerbridge, in a statement. “We are pleased to have the opportunity to partner with Focus management, its partner firms, and existing capital providers, Summit Partners and Polaris Ventures, in the next stage of their growth.”

New York-based Centerbridge Partners has roughly $20 billion in capital under management as of May 2013. Its business focuses on private equity and credit investments.

"As one of the 2006 founding partner firms in Focus, I have continuously benefited from the Focus platform," says Bob Kresek, principal and wealth advisor at Buckingham Asset Management in Cupertino, Calif, in a press release. "Focus enabled me to dramatically grow my original business, Founders Financial Network, culminating in our merger with Buckingham."

Private-equity investors have been busy investing in the wealth management field in recent years. Last month, for instance, independent broker-dealer First Allied said it was being bought by a group led by the real estate investor Nicholas Schorsch. “We looked at First Allied’s business specifically for what it offers RCAP Holdings, not for distribution of product,” said Schorsch, chairman and CEO of RCAP, in an interview.

“First Allied is not a top-10 distribution source for us. They only sell three products for us,” he added. “This is the RCAP partnership investing in an industry we believe in."

Experts like Philip Palaveev, CEO of the Ensemble Practice, an advisory-practice consulting firm based in Seattle, says such investments should continue.

“Financial planning is a young but maturing industry, and that is why we see the institutional ownership increasing, including private equity—which is a subset of institutional capital,” Palaveev said in an interview.

“The industry is seen as growing and highly lucrative. The interest of private equity is a signal that this is an industry of opportunity,” he said. “That’s good news — nothing else.”

---

Check out these related stories on ThinkAdvisor:

Thursday, January 22, 2015

Costamare Misses on Revenues but Beats on EPS

Costamare (NYSE: CMRE  ) reported earnings on July 24. Here are the numbers you need to know.

The 10-second takeaway
For the quarter ended June 30 (Q2), Costamare missed estimates on revenues and beat expectations on earnings per share.

Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue grew. Non-GAAP earnings per share increased significantly. GAAP earnings per share expanded significantly.

Margins grew across the board.

Revenue details
Costamare reported revenue of $100.0 million. The five analysts polled by S&P Capital IQ looked for net sales of $102.2 million on the same basis. GAAP reported sales were the same as the prior-year quarter's.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
EPS came in at $0.37. The seven earnings estimates compiled by S&P Capital IQ predicted $0.31 per share. Non-GAAP EPS of $0.37 for Q2 were 16% higher than the prior-year quarter's $0.32 per share. GAAP EPS of $0.41 for Q2 were 32% higher than the prior-year quarter's $0.31 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Margin details
For the quarter, gross margin was 67.6%, 190 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 40.6%, 80 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 30.5%, 850 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. (Margins calculated in GAAP terms.)

Looking ahead
Next quarter's average estimate for revenue is $112.7 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.39.

Next year's average estimate for revenue is $433.5 million. The average EPS estimate is $1.46.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a five-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 13 members out of 15 rating the stock outperform, and two members rating it underperform. Among five CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), four give Costamare a green thumbs-up, and one give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Costamare is outperform, with an average price target of $18.75.

Can your portfolio provide you with enough income to last through retirement? You'll need more than Costamare. Learn how to maximize your investment income and "Secure Your Future With 9 Rock-Solid Dividend Stocks." Click here for instant access to this free report.

Add Costamare to My Watchlist.

Wednesday, January 21, 2015

Weak BlackBerry 10 Units Crush BlackBerry Shares

Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.

What: Shares of BlackBerry (NASDAQ: BBRY  ) got crushed today by as much as 29% after the company reported fiscal first quarter earnings.

So what: Revenue in the first quarter totaled $3.1 billion, which translated into an adjusted loss of $0.13 per share. Total smartphone shipments came in at 6.8 million, of which 2.7 million were BlackBerry 10 devices like the Z10 or Q10. PlayBook tablet shipments totaled 100,000, the lowest quarterly units since introduction.

Now what: The company said that its bottom line was negatively affected by Venezuelan foreign currency restrictions, and BlackBerry would have been close to breakeven results without them. BlackBerry subscribers declined by 4 million sequentially to 72 million. CEO Thorsten Heins said the company is still in the early stages of the new platform. BlackBerry declined to provide specific financial guidance, citing its ongoing transition in the highly competitive smartphone market, but does expect an operating loss.

Interested in more info on BlackBerry? Add it to your watchlist by clicking here.

Want to get in on the smartphone phenomenon? Truth be told, one company sits at the crossroads of smartphone technology as we know it. It's not your typical household name, either. In fact, you've probably never even heard of it! But it stands to reap massive profits NO MATTER WHO ultimately wins the smartphone war. To find out what it is, click here to access the "One Stock You Must Buy Before the iPhone-Android War Escalates Any Further..."

What Is Citigroup's Secret Sauce?

Fellow Fools, operating under the assumption you can't properly evaluate a company as an investment if you don't know what makes that company tick, for the last few weeks we've been examining superbank Citigroup (NYSE: C  ) from top to bottom.

So far, we've looked at how Citi generates its revenue and how profitable it is. Today we're going to investigate what sets Citi apart from its peers to try to find out what its "secret sauce" is. Because every good investment has some angle or competitive edge that lets it stand out from the pack.

It's a small world, and a potentially profitable one
A look at Citi's first-quarter 2013 earnings supplement shows a surprising fact: The superbank generated $10.9 billion of its $20.5 billion in total revenue from overseas operations. That's 53.1%.

For the record, "overseas" means anything outside of North America, which Citi defines specifically as: EMEA (Europe, Middle East, Africa); Latin America; and Asia. In those geographical areas:

For Global Consumer Banking, Citi generated $4.9 billion in revenue overseas out of a total of $10.0 billion, or 49%. For Securities and Banking, Citi generated $4.0 billion in revenue overseas out of a total of $7.0 billion, or 57.1%. For Transaction Services, Citi generated $2.0 billion in revenue overseas out of a total of $2.6 billion, or 76.9%. 

This global capability and global reach in an undeniably global world is Citi's secret sauce. Even in the wake of the worldwide financial crisis, planet finance doesn't look like it's going to decouple anytime soon, and Citi is well positioned to make the most of it.

The competition
When it comes to international operations and revenue breakdowns, it's very hard to get apples-to-apples comparisons on specific numbers and metrics between two companies. This is because different companies report said numbers and metrics differently. And different business organize their lines of business differently.

Suffice it to say that both Bank of America (NYSE: BAC  ) and JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM  ) both see themselves as global banks. And each in their own way are committed to competing globally. So Citi won't automatically have the world to itself.

In its first-quarter earnings press release, B of A specifically called out that "Global Wealth and Investment Management report[ed] record post-merger revenue, net income, and long-term assets under management." Total revenue from this line of business alone was a hearty $4.4 billion for the first quarter.  In its first-quarter press release, JPMorgan specifically called out that "Corporate & Investment Bank[ing] reported strong performance across products and maintained its #1 ranking for Global Investment Banking fees." 

Foolish bottom line
Every good company, and therefore every good investment, has a secret sauce: the thing that lets it stand out from the pack. From this Fool's perspective, Citi's secret sauce is its global reach, capability, and commitment. 53.1% of total revenue coming from overseas operations is a serious commitment. The connected world isn't going away, and Citi is going to be there to reap the ongoing rewards of this connectedness.

Though some countries may be trying hard to ring-fence their banking systems, to keep them safe from the kind of cross-border contamination that let America's bursting real-estate bubble infect the world's economy, the fact is, globalization is here to stay. Banks that get this -- and are putting their time, money, and resources into maximizing the related capabilities -- are here to stay as well. 

Looking for in-depth analysis on Citi?
Then look no further than our new premium report. Inside, the Motley Fool's Senior Banking Analyst Matt Koppenheffer will give you both reasons to buy and reasons to sell Citigroup. He'll also clue you in on what areas investors need to watch going forward. And with quarterly updates included, this could quite literally be the last source of Citigroup investment research you'll ever need. For instant access to Matt's personal take on Citi, simply click here now.

How British American Tobacco Measures Up as a GARP Investment

LONDON -- A popular way to dig out reasonably priced stocks with robust growth potential is through the "Growth at a Reasonable Price," or GARP, strategy. This theory uses the price-to-earnings to growth (PEG) ratio to show how a share's price weighs up in relation to its near-term growth prospects -- a reading below 1 is generally considered decent value for money.

Today, I am looking at British American Tobacco  (LSE: BATS  ) (NYSEMKT: BTI  ) to see how it measures up.

What are British American Tobacco's earnings expected to do?

Metric 

2013

2014

EPS Growth

10%

9%

P/E Ratio

16

14.6

PEG Ratio

1.6

1.6

Source: Digital Look.

British American Tobacco has posted strong double-digit growth in four of the past five years, with last year's 6% expansion proving the exception, and the firm is expected to keep earnings rolling higher over the medium term.

At current prices, the firm's PEG reading registers above the benchmark representing good value, however. And the tobacco specialist's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is also running above the value benchmark of 10 for this period.

Does British American Tobacco provide decent value against its rivals?

Metric 

FTSE 100

Tobacco

Prospective P/E Ratio

17.1

14

Prospective PEG Ratio

4.8

2.2

Source: Digital Look.

British American Tobacco surpasses the FTSE 100 average in terms of both PEG and P/E ratings, and although it lags the broader tobacco sector when considering the latter reading, a superior PEG ratio illustrates the company's better growth potential.

At first glance, British American Tobacco would not appear to be a traditional GARP investment owing to a PEG reading above 1, even though the reading is not excessively high. Still, for those looking for reliable earnings growth over a long time horizon, I believe the firm is worthy of strong consideration.

Developing markets ready to drive earnings
British American Tobacco advised in last month's interims that revenues nudged 5% higher during the first quarter, although news of a 3.7% slip in cigarette volumes, to 160 billion sticks, concerned investors that demand may be waning for its products.

Even as enduring financial woes in Europe continues to hamper performance, I believe that the firm's revenues should continue to grow as off-take from emerging regions heads skywards. Demand from Asia-Pacific rose 6.7% on an annual basis to 48 billion sticks, the firm noted, and it is hiking its activities in these regions to cash in on these lucrative markets.

And helping to mitigate fears over reduced groupwide volumes last quarter, British American Tobacco advised that "the pricing environment remains strong," and the company is able to use its catalogue of marquee Global Brands -- namely Lucky Strike, Dunhill, Kent, and Pall Mall -- to maintain its pricing power and keep margins steady.

The firm is also tipped to launch its Vype e-cigarette technology in Europe in the next few months, according to recent reports from Sky News, giving it a strong foothold in another rapidly growing market.

Multiply your investment income with the Fool
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Our "5 Dividend Winners to Retire On" wealth report highlights a selection of tasty stocks with an excellent record of providing juicy shareholder returns. Among our picks are top retail, pharmaceutical, and utilities plays that we are convinced should continue to provide red-hot dividends. Click here to download the report -- it's 100% free and comes with no obligation.

link

Monday, January 19, 2015

The U.S. Oil Export Surge Is Coming

My wife and I just returned home from a family event in Seattle, and something there caught my eye that will have a big effect on energy investors.

Something is now afoot in the Pacific Northwest that is going to change how we think about pricing oil - and this new wrinkle is going to provide a range of fantastic opportunities for investors.

It revolves around the prospect of U.S. oil exports and the changes that will be needed to make it all happen...

Preparing for a Generational Change in U.S. Oil Exports

These preparations are already underway. In fact, entire networks are now being restructured to increase the transport of oil to the West Coast for export to Asia.

Of course, this will still require an act of Congress, since the government restriction against exports in the wake of the oil embargo of the early 1970s is still on the books.

But as I have mentioned before, that change is certainly coming.

US Oil ExportAnd from the looks of what is taking shape among pipeline administrators, tanker companies, port authorities, and railways, the broad-based assumption is that this decades-old policy will be revised soon. Local officials in port cities throughout the Pacific Northwest are counting on it.

But it's the companies that will haul, offload, and transport the oil that are moving first. Several major industry meetings are now scheduled on the West Coast on the subject, whereas last year there were none.

According to veteran officials at the Port of Seattle, the expected revisions will be one of the largest changes in American export policy (and shipping priorities) in several generations.

Of course, the West Coast will not be the only area affected. But it does have the advantage of being the ready loading point for deliveries to Asia. And the Asian market is where the energy expansion over the course of the next two decades will be the most pronounced, offering the highest profit potential and greatest pricing differentials available anywhere on the market.

All of which adds up to the massive move that is now taking shape to start sending crude out of the United States.

Growing U.S. Production Alters the Balance

What makes all of this possible, of course, is the resurgence of U.S. oil production. The onset of huge unconventional (shale, tight, heavy) oil reserves has caused our concerns about sufficient oil supplies to become a non-issue.

Meanwhile, the market offering the highest rate of return is foreign, especially in those regions with developing economies and accelerating populations. This is hardly news, since these regions of the world have been driving oil prices for some time now.

What changes the equation this time around is where that supply will be sourced.

As it stands, Asia currently pays a premium for deliveries of Saudi and other OPEC oil. Put simply, it costs more for an Asian end user to secure crude than for the equivalent consignment to be delivered just about anywhere else on earth.

Despite everything that has taken place, it is still cheaper to receive a crude oil tanker in Galveston than it is in Japan, China, or India. The so-called "Asian premium" has long been a fact of life to do business there.

However, some new additions are now about to upset that balance.

One is the growing use of the East Siberia-Pacific Ocean (ESPO) export pipeline, which moves Russian oil for export and also has a spur for the direct transit of crude by land to Northwest China.

As this develops, ESPO will also introduce a new crude benchmark rate (also named ESPO). In fact, these flows have already become sufficient enough to justify pricing quotes from Argus in London. What's more, the oil is of better quality than Saudi crude (lower sulfur content) and, once the confidence in regular deliveries builds, it should begin to cut into the additional price paid by Asia.

But this is not going to happen overnight.

Even still, Asian consumers would certainly welcome another major oil exporter that was in a position to compete with OPEC and Russian sources. The continent is certainly going to need all of the oil it can secure.

Shifting the Flow of Oil to the Pacific Northwest

That's why what's happening in places like Seattle is so important.

The combination of U.S. and Canadian production becoming available - all without sacrificing any domestic needs - is tailor-made for where the energy balance is heading. As the energy balance shifts toward Asia, so also will the exports.

Already, the movement of crude south from Canada to the United States by rail has emerged as a major change in North American transit corridors. Plans are underway to build central offloading facilities to move oil from railcars and pipelines to tankers headed across the Pacific.

At some point, the Keystone XL pipeline will be approved and construction of the last major leg in the largest North American crude pipeline network will finally get underway.

By that point, the ability of the United States to be effectively self-sufficient in both oil and natural gas will have become a reality. By 2025 (maybe even sooner), the American market will only need to import about 30% of its daily requirements. That's down from almost 70% only a few years ago.

Those imports will come primarily from Canada. Other sources will only be utilized if they benefit from cost-side considerations.

As a result, the United States will be left with significant additional production over and above what is needed. So there is no longer any strategic reason to prevent U.S. oil exports.

In fact, there is too much to gain from an employment and tax base perspective, which means the political pressure to allow exports will grow.

As the policy change meets the infrastructure development, a number of companies all along this new value chain will become great targets for investment.

Also, as we begin to see a short-term ceiling forming for oil prices, do not forget these simple facts.

First, as I recently explained, making profits in the oil sector is no longer dependent upon the rising price of oil.

Second, the United States will have plenty of excess oil for some time to come.

Finally, even with the changes taking place in the trading balance, prices (and therefore profits) will be higher in Asia.

All of these conditions will set the stage for the coming U.S. oil export surge... and our ability to profit from it.

And don't forget: The Gulf and East Coasts are about to benefit big time from the export of liquefied natural gas (LNG) to Europe and Asia.

It all adds up to be an exciting time for energy investors.

More from Dr. Kent Moors: Making money in the energy sector is no longer pegged to higher oil prices. But it does require a different approach. This is the best way to profit from crude oil prices right now...

Ascena Retail Drops On Downbeat Earnings; CF Industries Shares Gain

Related BZSUM Markets Mixed; Carnival Profit Tops Street View #PreMarket Primer: Tuesday, September 23: First Airstrikes In Syria Begin

Midway through trading Tuesday, the Dow traded down 0.16 percent to 17,145.38 while the NASDAQ gained 0.10 percent to 4,532.30. The S&P also fell, declining 0.07 percent to 1,992.90.

Leading and Lagging Sectors

In trading on Tuesday, basic materials shares were relative leaders, up on the day by about 0.13 percent. Top gainers in the sector included AuRico Gold (NYSE: AUQ), up 4.9 percent, and CF Industries Holdings (NYSE: CF), up 5.3 percent.

Non-cyclical consumer goods & services shares fell 0.45 percent on Tuesday. Top losers in the sector included Diamond Foods (NASDAQ: DMND), down 3.4 percent, and Xueda Education Group (NYSE: XUE), off 2.6 percent.

Top Headline

Carnival (NYSE: CCL) reported better-than-expected fiscal third-quarter earnings and raised its FY14 forecast.

The Miami, Florida-based company posted a quarterly fiscal third-quarter profit of $1.25 billion, or $1.60 per share, versus a year-ago profit of $934 million, or $1.20 per share.

Its revenue climbed to $4.95 billion from $4.73 billion. On an adjusted basis, Carnival earned $1.58 per share in the quarter. However, analysts were expecting a profit of $1.44 per share on revenue of $4.93 billion.

Equities Trading UP

Salix Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: SLXP) shares shot up 5.52 percent to $168.66 on report of takeover talks with Allergan. Allergan (NYSE: AGN) is set to acquire Salix Pharmaceuticals in a deal probably worth more than $10 billion, according to Dow Jones Newswires.

Shares of Sangamo Biosciences (NASDAQ: SGMO) got a boost, shooting up 5.85 percent to $11.40 after dropping 5.90% on Monday. Jefferies initiated coverage on Sangamo BioSciences with a Buy rating and a $22.00 price target.

CF Industries Holdings (NYSE: CF) shares were also up, gaining 5.27 percent to $269.26 on confirmation of merger talks with Yara International ASA (OTC: YARIY).

Equities Trading DOWN

Shares of Ascena Retail Group (NASDAQ: ASNA) were down 15.97 percent to $13.89 after the company reported downbeat fourth-quarter earnings and issued a weak outlook.

Avanir Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: AVNR) shares tumbled 4.19 percent to $10.74 after the company announced an offering of $200 million of common stock.

CarMax (NYSE: KMX) was down, falling 9.60 percent to $47.74 after the company reported downbeat fiscal second-quarter profit.

Commodities

In commodity news, oil traded up 0.84 percent to $91.63, while gold traded up 0.46 percent to $1,223.50.

Silver traded up 0.06 percent Tuesday to $17.79, while copper fell 0.10 percent to $3.04.

Eurozone

European shares were lower today. The eurozone’s STOXX 600 declined 1.32 percent, the Spanish Ibex Index fell 1.39 percent, while Italy’s FTSE MIB Index declined 1.36 percent. Meanwhile, the German DAX fell 1.47 percent and the French CAC 40 fell 1.86 percent while UK shares dropped 1.31 percent.

Economics

The ICSC-Goldman Store Sales Index rose 0.1% in the week ended Saturday versus the earlier week.

The Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index declined 0.6% in the first three weeks of September versus August.

The FHFA house price index gained 0.1% in July, versus a 0.3% growth in June.

The flash reading of US Markit manufacturing PMI came in unchanged at 57.9 in September, versus economists’ expectations for a reading of 58.

The Richmond Fed manufacturing index rose to 14.00 in September, versus a prior reading of 12.00. However, economists were expecting a reading of 10.00.

Posted-In: News Guidance Eurozone Futures M&A Markets

© 2014 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

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Saturday, January 17, 2015

Ferguson-Driven Stocks Won’t Fly High Forever

Twitter Logo LinkedIn Logo Google Plus Logo RSS Logo Dan Burrows Popular Posts: 5 Stocks to Sell for September5 High-Dividend Blue-Chip Stocks to BuyShould I Buy Apple Stock? 3 Pros, 3 Cons Recent Posts: Ferguson-Driven Stocks Won’t Fly High Forever 5 Stocks to Buy for September Tesla Stock – Sky-High Potential, But Priced for Perfection View All Posts Ferguson-Driven Stocks Won’t Fly High Forever

The protests in Ferguson, Missouri, over the shooting death of an unarmed black teen are nearly a month old by now, and yet shares in Taser (TASR), Image Sensing Systems (ISNS) and Digital Ally (DGLY) still are clinging to some impressive gains.

police Ferguson Driven Stocks Wont Fly High Forever Source: Flickr

It’s almost too obvious a trade, and that’s the problem at this stage of the game.

Makers of less-than-lethal weapons, traffic identification systems and personal video recording technology for law enforcement — such as DGLY, ISNS and TASR — should all benefit from the lessons leaned in Ferguson. From the shooting to the aftermath, there were plenty of opportunities to make use of those technologies.

The risk in investing in these names after they have moved — just like any hot fad — is that the easy money has already been made. The market has already accounted for any huge influx of new business, so how much upside could be left?

On the other hand, momentum trades do have a life of their own. A stock soars, the fundamentals deteriorate … and yet the market couldn’t care less.

It’s possible to ride a hot stock to even greater gains, but be aware that the odds are against you. After all, everyone else — including professionals swinging very big lines — are trying to do the same thing.

Big Gains for DGLY, TASR and ISNS

The 0ne-month returns in this space have been downright eye-popping.

Digital Ally stock is up more than 800% on a boom in business. DGLY expects revenue to jump 26% this year thanks to a rush of police departments making inquiries about its wearable body cameras. DGLY landed a $1 million contract with Michigan’s state police department in late August; maybe that will help DGLY post its first full-year profit since 2008.

TASR stock is up “only” 53% over the past month, but it could still be the biggest winner in the not-too-distant future. Taser makes cameras as well as stun guns, but the big advantage is that it already has relationships with law enforcement agencies all over the country.

TASR was already benefiting from strong international business before the shooting in Ferguson. The U.K. has been fertile ground for Taser ever since the police there ran a successful trial program during the summer Olympics of 2012. Investors are betting that Brazil will become a large customer ahead of its hosting of the 2016 Olympics.

And ISNS stock is up nearly 300% in the last month. The company makes license-plate identification software, among other products, and business was sluggish in the first half of the year. Sales fell 20% in the second quarter. Heck, ISNS hasn’t booked a full year of net income since 2010 … and yet recently, Wall Street thought it good enough for a quadrupling.

Great for Traders, Not for Investors

This brings us to another risk with these stocks: They’re small.

TASR stock — the biggest of the bunch — has a market cap of just $894 million, making it a small small-cap.

Investors need to be concerned about volatility and liquidity — and that goes even more for super-tiny ISNS and DGLY. Even after huge runs, ISNS has a market cap of just $43 million. DGLY stands at $76 million.

TASR, ISNS and DGLY have all certainly gotten ahead of themselves by earnings and sales projections. These stocks will cool off eventually, and come down hard. In fact, they’re even starting to show signs of weakness; DGLY lost 16% by midday in Wednesday’s session.

Of course, on the other hand, ISNS jumped another 34% by midday Wednesday.

If you’re a trader, these stocks are your new best friends. But anyone looking to invest and forget need not apply.

As of this writing, Dan Burrows did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities.

Thursday, January 15, 2015

Friday’s Analyst Moves: ConocoPhillips, Kraft Foods Group Inc, Humana Inc, More (COP, KRFT, HUM, More)

Before Friday’s opening bell, a number of big name dividend stocks were the subject of analyst moves. Below, we highlight the important analyst commentary for investors.

Humana Upgraded to “Buy” at Stifel Nicolaus

Humana Inc (HUM) has been upgraded from “Hold” to “Buy” at Stifel Nicolaus as visibility is improving. The firm has a $155 price target on HUM, suggesting a 25% upside from Thursday’s closing price of $124.35. HUM has a dividend yield of 0.90%.

Oppenheimer Raises PT on ConocoPhillips

Oppenheimer has boosted its price target on ConocoPhillips (COP) to $90, suggesting a 12% increase from Thursday’s closing price of $80.05. COP has a dividend yield of 3.45%.

Leerink Swann Raises PT on Medtronic

Leerink Swann has raised its price target on Medtronic, Inc. (MDT) to $65. This new price target suggests a 5% increase from Thursday’s closing price of $62.04. Analysts see MDT’s deep pipeline and emerging markets driving long term growth. MDT has a dividend yield of 1.81%.

MKM Partners Starts Coverage on AMC Entertainment

MKM Partners has initiated coverage on AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc (AMC) with a “Buy” rating and $28 price target. Analysts see the company’s theater modernization driving growth. AMC has a dividend yield of 3.49%.

Entergy Upgraded at BMO Capital

Entergy Corporation (ETR) has been upgraded to “Outperform” at BMO Capital. The firm has a $89 price target on ETR, suggesting a 13% upside from Thursday’s closing price of $78.61. ETR has a dividend yield of 4.22%.

Lennox Upgraded at KeyBanc

Lennox International Inc. (LII

How Shopping American-Style Will Soon Look

Hointer/APA woman demonstrates shopping technology at a store called Hointer in Seattle. NEW YORK -- When it comes to shopping, more Americans are skipping the stores and pulling out their smartphones and tablets. Still, there's more on the horizon for shopping than just point-and-clicking. No one thinks physical stores are going away permanently. But because of the frenetic pace of advances in technology and online shopping, the stores that remain will likely offer amenities and services that are more about experiences and less about selling a product. Think: Apple's (AAPL) stores. Among the things industry watchers are envisioning are holograms in dressing rooms that will allow shoppers to try on clothes without getting undressed. Their homes will be equipped with smart technology that will order light bulbs before they go dark. And they'll be able to print out a full version of coffee cups and other products using 3-D technology in stores. "Physical shopping will become a lot more fun because it's going to have to be," retail futurist Doug Stephens says. More Services Forrester analyst Sucharita Mulpuru says stores of the future will be more about services, like day care, veterinary services and beauty services. Services that connect online and offline shopping could increase as well, with more drive-thru pickup and order-online, pick-up-in-store services. Checkout also will be self-service or with cashiers using computer tablets. Some stores are taking self-service further: A store in Seattle called Hointer displays clothing not in piles or on racks but as one piece hanging at a time, like a gallery. Shoppers just touch their smartphones to a coded tag on the item and then select a color and size on their phone. Technology in the store keeps track of the items, and by the time a shopper is ready to try them on, they're already at the dressing room. If the shopper doesn't like an item, he tosses it down a chute, which automatically removes the item from the shopper's online shopping cart. The shopper keeps the items that he or she wants, which are purchased automatically when leaving the store, no checkout involved. Nadia Shouraboura, Hointer's CEO, says once shoppers get used to the process, they're hooked. On-Demand Coupons Some stores, including British retailer Tesco and drugstore Duane Reade, now are testing beacons, Bluetooth-enabled devices that can communicate directly with your cellphone to offer discounts, direct you to a desired product in a store or enable you to pay remotely. For example, you can walk into a drugstore where you normally buy face cream. The beacon would recognize your smartphone, connect it with past purchasing history and send you a text or email with a coupon for the cream. "The more we know about customers ... you can use promotions on not a macro level but a micro level," says Kasey Lobaugh, chief retail innovation officer at Deloitte Consulting. A store could offer a mother 20 percent off on Mother's Day, for example, or offer frequent buyers of paper towels a discount on bulk purchases. 3-D Printing Within 10 years, 3-D printing could make a major disruption in retail, Deloitte's Lobaugh predicts. Take a simple item like a coffee cup. Instead of producing one in China, transporting it and distributing it to retail stores, you could just download the code for the coffee cup and 3-D print it at a retail outlet or in your own home. "That starts a dramatic change in terms of the structure of retail," Lobaugh said. And while 3-D printing today is primarily plastic, Lobaugh says there are tests at places like MIT Media Lab and elsewhere with other materials, including fabric. Right now a few stores offer rudimentary 3-D-printing services, but they are very limited. He predicts the shift will come in 10 to 20 years. Order Yourself Steve Yankovich, head of innovation for eBay (EBAY), thinks someday buying household supplies won't take any effort at all. He says someday a connected home could be able to use previous customer history and real-time data the house records to sense when a light bulb burns out, for example, and order a new one automatically. Or a washing machine will order more detergent when it runs low. "A box could show up on porch with this disparate set of 10 things the connected home and eBay determined you needed to keep things running smoothly," he says. "It's called zero-effort commerce." Holograms EBay recently bought PhiSix, a company working on creating life-size 3-D models of clothing that can be used in dressing rooms to instantly try on different colors of clothing or different styles. You can see 30 or 40 items of clothing realistically without physically trying them on. EBay's Yankovich says the technology can be used in a virtual dressing room as well, showing what the clothes look like when you are, say, walking down the street or hitting a golf club. Some companies have been testing this already. British digital agency Engage created a Virtual Style Pod that scanned shoppers and created a life-size image onto which luxury clothing from brands like Alexander McQueen and DKNY were projected. The Pod was displayed in shopping centers in Dubai and Abu Dhabi in the United Arab Emirates.

Tuesday, January 13, 2015

Robo report: Traditional advisers may be biggest market for online investment services

REgistered investment advisers, online advisers, practice management

Younger investors could spend billions of dollars for financial advice online, according to a new report, but the biggest consumers of these services may be traditional firms looking to expand.

A recent report by the consulting firm Aite Group found that if the investors between 20 and 49 who say they would pay for low-cost online advice did so today, firms in that space could realize a total of $2 to $4 billion in annual revenue. Firms that provide more active investment management services or help advisers digitize their offerings could see several billion dollars more in revenue.

The report, which looked at 18 of the dozens of online advice platforms, cautioned that a massive shift in behavior would have to oc

Monday, January 12, 2015

China Lags on YUM! Brands' (YUM) Earnings Win

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- YUM! Brands (YUM) shares rallied after the bell on better-than-expected earnings, though gains were somewhat tempered by disappointing same-store sales in the U.S. and China. In extended trading, shares had added 4.8% to $69.32.

The owner of KFC and Pizza Hut reported fourth-quarter net income of 86 cents a share, six cents higher than analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters had expected. Revenue was 0.5% higher year-over-year to $4.17 billion, but short consensus by $79 million.

While earnings beat expectations, same-store sales growth left a bitter taste. The company's China division was particularly hard-hit as the effects of a December 2012 avian flu scare continued to weigh heavily on KFC China sales.

Quarterly same-store sales in China fell 4%, in line with expectations from estimates provider Consensus Metrix. Over the year, same-store sales fell 13%, which included a 15% decline at KFC. YUM! Brands is the largest Western restaurant chain operator in China, led by the popularity of KFC. Over the year, management worked to entice customers back to the chain. "In China, we strengthened our poultry supply chain, made significant progress rebuilding consumer trust in the KFC brand and made substantial gains in restaurant productivity," said CEO David Novak in a statement. In its U.S. Division, quarterly same-store sales fell 2%, which included declines of 4% at Pizza Hut and 5% at KFC, offset by 1% growth at Taco Bell. Analysts expected 1.6% same-store sales across the portfolio, made up of 2.8% growth at Taco Bell, 2.4% growth at Pizza Hut and a 1.4% drop at KFC. Excluding currency exchange fluctuations, worldwide system sales grew 2%, which included 5% growth at Yum! Restaurants International (YRI) and 1% at U.S. stores. System sales declined 4% in China. "While 2013 was a challenging year, I'm pleased to report continued progress as we enter 2014," said Novak. "With the decisive actions we've taken to strengthen our company across the board, we are well positioned to deliver double-digit EPS growth in 2014 and the years ahead." TheStreet Ratings team rates YUM BRANDS INC as a Buy with a ratings score of B. The team has this to say about their recommendation: "We rate YUM BRANDS INC (YUM) a BUY. This is driven by some important positives, which we believe should have a greater impact than any weaknesses, and should give investors a better performance opportunity than most stocks we cover. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its notable return on equity and increase in stock price during the past year. We feel these strengths outweigh the fact that the company has had sub par growth in net income." You can view the full analysis from the report here: YUM Ratings Report

Stock quotes in this article: YUM 

1 Factor That Could Cause 35% of People to Leave Their Jobs. What About You?

Source: via flickr user woodleywonderworks.

The improving economy is creating more jobs, and that is making more workers confident about their employment situations. A recent Glassdoor employment confidence survey found that more people expect to land a raise this year than did last year, and roughly one-third of them are prepared to head for the exit if that pay increase does not come through.

Gaining the upper hand
The Glassdoor survey, which has been conducted every quarter since the fourth quarter of 2008, found that workers are far less worried about job security than at any other point in the past five years. The percentage of respondents who are concerned they'll be laid off in the next six months sunk from 26% in early 2009 to 13% in the fourth quarter of 2014.

That increased feeling of security reflects overall the nation's consistent job growth since the end of the Great Recession. After peaking at 10% in 2009, the unemployment rate had fallen to just 5.8% as of November 2014.

Employees now feel like they're in control, which could signal a shift in the balance of power away from employers for the first time in years.

That power shift could mean that employers must now think a lot harder about retention, and that employers that have created the consistently best working environments for employees in recent years could benefit from an influx of talent as more workers begin window shopping.

According to Glassdoor, that window shopping is likely to happen if workers don't get a raise. Thirty-five percent of surveyed workers said they would look for a new job if employers don't offer more money this year.

Overall, 43% of surveyed employees said they expect that employers will bump up their pay in 2015 via either a merit-based raise or cost-of-living increase. That's up nearly 10% from the number that expected raises during the recession. College graduates are among the most confident that they'll make more money this year, with 50% expecting a pay increase.

On average, people said they believe their increase will run between 3% and 5%, but 12% of workers think their pay will rise by between 6% and 10% in 2015.

What it means
The Federal Reserve for years has kept interest rates incredibly low because of fears that low inflation rates signal that the nation's economic rebound is fragile, but inflation could climb in the coming year if wage pressures increase. That could translate into a growing willingness by the Fed to tap the brakes on economic growth by beginning to increase rates, which might not be an entirely bad thing. People relying on investment income have seen little benefit from rock-bottom interest rate policies over the past five years, and they would certainly welcome an increase in rates. Banks would also likely benefit from rising rates, which could support lending spreads, particularly if pay increases encourage workers to seek out loans for new cars and homes. Regardless, the biggest beneficiary of this trend would undeniably be workers, as this survey suggests they are likely to have far more, and better-paying, employment options this year than in 2014.

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Saturday, January 10, 2015

Are You Earning Too Little?

Closeup of  paycheckAlamy Personal finance author Barbara Stanny realized she was earning too little money when she interviewed women bringing home six figures or more for one of her books. "Of the first 15, three of them were writers. It was such an empowering thing for me to see. There were people doing what I was doing, but they were making more," she recalls. She committed to follow their lead, and before she finished her book, she had started earning six figures herself. Earning too little money, which Stanny defines as earning less than you need or desire, despite efforts to do otherwise, is a problem so common that Stanny started giving workshops on the topic. Eventually, it became the subject of her next book, "Overcoming Underearning." Others have also tackled the issue: Underearners Anonymous, a support group based on a 12-step program, is dedicated to helping people who find themselves trapped in a low-income cycle. And Bari Tessler Linden, a popular financial therapist, addresses the topic in her work, too. Tom Anderson, a freelance writer based in New York, wrote about visiting an Underearners Anonymous meeting for the financial website LearnVest earlier this year. "The median age was mid-40s, and it was a pretty diverse bunch of people from all different socioeconomic backgrounds," he told U.S. News. The session focused on improving time management skills, goal setting and being more career focused, he says. After the meeting, he says, "I did adjust my own expectations for my finances and what revenue targets I wanted to hit." Anderson says he would recommend the experience to anyone who is comfortable with the spiritual side of 12-step programs and who is not doing a good job of valuing their time, which often has a negative impact on earning power. (Underearners Anonymous did not respond to requests for comment.) Financial therapist Linden says in order to overcome her own struggle with underearning (in her 20s, she worked in hospice and as a counselor, and she couldn't afford organic food), she had to first learn to value herself better. "I had to do a lot of work on cultivating my value and what this means to me," she says. She also had to learn that it was OK to want to earn more money. "I thought if I did good work, money would just appear. But it also did not feel spiritual to me to strive for money," she says. Still, she knew she had to find a way to earn more. So she took on extra overnight shifts at hospice, but was still stuck earning less than $2,000 a month. She took on a second job, and eventually earned enough for some small indulgences, like chocolate. Then, she learned about bookkeeping, took on clients and started earning more money. Today, she's built an online business based around her financial therapy and coaching work that allows her to earn a six-figure income. "It's about the numbers, but of course it's also about having a deeply meaningful and joyful life, giving amazing work to the world and having a great lifestyle. And we all define that in our own ways," she says. As for Stanny, she says her own underearning struggles grew out of larger money issues. She recalls her father, one of the founders of H&R Block (HRB), teaching her little about smart money management. "The only thing my father ever told me was, 'Don't worry,'" she says. Later, her husband, a compulsive gambler, created a new set of financial problems for her. She finally decided she had to learn how to manage (and make) her own money. Overcoming underearning is all about shifting your thinking, Stanny says. "We tend to push our financial problems under the rug and ignore our problems and think they'll go away. [Instead,] I made a decision: I'm going to overcome underearning," Stanny says. Making that kind of mental shift can be uncomfortable, she adds, but it's essential for making a significant change. The biggest lesson she learned from high earners, she says, is to say yes to opportunities. "If any opportunity comes along, as long as it's not illegal or immoral, they just say 'yes,'" she says of high earners. Even if something makes them nervous, like a new speaking gig, high-earners welcome the opportunity. To overcome her own under-earning trap, Stanny started raising her speaking fees. It made her uncomfortable, and for the first three months, she got few takers, but eventually, she started booking gigs at her higher rate. "I knew I deserved to earn more for no other reason than I'm worth it," Stanny says. Cultivating that sense of self-worth is crucial for overcoming underearning.

Fidelity late but not too late with new ETFs

fidelity, vanguard, etfs, mutual funds, blackrock Bloomberg News

Fidelity Investments is making its first big leap into the exchange-traded fund arena Thursday with the launch of 10 sector ETFs, but the question remains: Is it too little, too late?

Several analysts are saying, "No."

"ETFs still have a long way to go before they catch up to mutual funds, and there's still room for entrants," said Mike Rawson, an analyst at Morningstar Inc. "I think we should wait a few years to see what else Fidelity is able to do."

(Featured Data: 3Q's Best- and Worst-Performing Equity ETFs)

Ten years ago, Fidelity launched its first and only ETF: the $262 million Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Tracking ETF (ONEQ). It hasn't launched another since and has largely missed out on the ETF boom.

Total assets in the ETF market have increased to $1.6 trillion this year, from $125 billion in 2003, making Fidelity's share of the market a mere sliver, according to data from BlackRock Inc., the largest ETF manager and a subadviser to Fidelity's sector ETFs.

"They haven't had a clear ETF strategy, and they haven't pursued it [as] aggressively as they should have," Mr. Rawson said. "Even though [ETFs] are small in relation to the mutual fund market, their flows are large."

TOUGH COMPETITION

Fidelity faces heavy competition. There now are more than 1,500 ETFs, up from less than 150 10 years ago. And the number of companies launching them has grown to 58, from less than 10 in 2003, according to BlackRock.

Waiting, however, may have been Fidelity's best strategy, said Jim Lowell, editor of the Fidelity Investor newsletter.

The company held off until now to ensure that ETFs didn't become commoditized too quickly and potentially unprofitable as a business, he said.

The delay also has allowed the company to enter at a time when it can be competitive on costs.

Fidelity's 10 sector ETFs will charge 12 basis points in management fees, according to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

That compares with the 14 basis points that The Vanguard Group Inc. charges on its sector ETFs, which were the cheapest available.

"This isn't a knock on the door. This is a punch in the face over at Vanguard," Mr. Lowell said.

"Fidelity can afford to commoditize sector ETFs further and faster ... There's a huge business opportunity here," he said.

State Street Global Advisors, which manages the largest suite of sector ETFs, charges 18 basis points.

"A price war is inevitable," Mr. Lowell said.

Fidelity "can get in there ! and undercut on price where they simply couldn't in the last decade. This is a market share moment," Mr. Lowell said.

Vanguard is "not nervous" about having the added competition from Fidelity, said spokesman David Hoffman.

The 10 comparable Vanguard sector ETFs make up 5% of the $300 billion in the company's total U.S. ETF business, he said.

"We're never engaged in a price war," Mr. Hoffman said.

"We're a low-cost leader across the board," he said. "I think investors can expect to see that in the future.”

Kevin Quigg, the global head of ETF sales strategy for State Street, said that investors should focus their attention on total cost of ownership of the sector ETFs.

The company's sector SPDR ETFs were the second line of ETF products it brought to market, he said.

"We have through time lowered our expense ratios from a scale perspective as we have the ability to pass it on to our shareholders," Mr. Quigg said. "They are bringing products in the same space, and at the end of the day, investors decide."

Fidelity has every reason for wanting to dive into the ETF market.

Since 2008, Fidelity's active U.S. equity funds have suffered $87 billion in net outflows, according to data from Morningstar.

By contrast, the company's passively managed index funds have had positive net inflows of $15 billion since 2008.

The new Fidelity funds merit attention, said financial adviser Andrew Wang, senior vice president of Runnymede Capital Management.

"I'm certainly going to take a look at them," he said. "Expenses are definitely something that we want to be cognizant of."

OTHER ADVISERS WARY

Other advisers don't see low cost as a reason to get too excited about the new Fidelity lineup.

"It's not something that made me jump out of my seat," said Matt Reiner, chief investment officer at Capital Investment Advisors. "I don't know how exciting they'll be to strategists."

Mr. Reiner's firm manages $1.3 billion in assets through a combination of ETFs and other investments, mainly us! ing State! Street's SPDR funds in the ETF arena.

David Blain, president of BlueSky Wealth Advisors, agrees that prices alone might not be enough to give Fidelity leverage in the market.

"For us, ETFs form the core of the portfolio, and it's just not something that gets switched out very often," he said. "To me, it's a marketing gimmick."

Although there are critics, Mr. Rawson said that Fidelity's strong brand name, established brokerage platform and numerous managers are key factors working in the firm's favor with the launch of the new ETFs.

The company isn't taking the new venture lightly and is investing heavily to make up for lost ground, he said.

"I think they view this as a very serious strategy," Mr. Rawson said.

"They have very competitive index products," he said. "It would only make sense for them to have ETFs to go along with that."

Mr. Lowell, who is also the chief investment officer at Adviser Investments, said that he will be looking into the products at his firm, which has close to $3 billion in assets under management.

"We'd be foolish not to," he said.

Citing regulatory restrictions ahead of the launch, Fidelity spokeswoman Erica Birke declined to comment.

Friday, January 9, 2015

DuPont: Let the Proxy Battle Begin

Nelson Peltz’s Trian Fund Management nominated four directors to DuPont’s (DD) board yesterday, setting up a proxy-battle extraordinaire. Deutsche Bank’s David Begleiter considers the implications:

Mark Lennihan/Associated Press Ellen Kullman, chair of the board and chief executive officer of DuPont

In September Trian sent a letter to DuPont's board stating that it would seek support from other investors for a break-up of DuPont into two companies. One of the companies would comprise the Agriculture, Nutrition & Health and (likely) Industrial BioSciences segments ('14E Sales: $16.2B, '14E EBITDA: $3.7B) and the other comprising Electronic & Communications, Performance Materials and Safety & Protection segments ('14E Sales: $12.6B, '14E EBITDA: $3.0B). At that time, Trian believed a break-up of DuPont could result in a doubling of DuPont shares in 3 years. With the recent filing of a Form 10 registration statement for its Performance Chemicals spin-off, DuPont remains on track to complete the separation of Performance Chemicals (TiO2, Fluoroproducts, Chemical Solutions; '14E Sales: $6.7B, '14E EBITDA: $1.0B) by mid-year.

We believe the upcoming proxy fight between Trian and DuPont will be a referendum on i) DuPont's performance under CEO Ellen Kullman (who has been CEO since 2009) and ii) whether DuPont, ex Performance Chemicals, should be separated into two companies.

With the upcoming proxy contest likely to further highlight the intrinsic value of DuPont's portfolio, and our SOTP analysis yielding a value of $85 (before any SOTP discount), we reiterate our Buy rating.

Shares of DuPont have dropped 1.5% to $73.42 at 12:57.

Thursday, January 8, 2015

5 Investment myths debunked

1. It's too early to plan for retirement:

If you are in your 20s and comfortably placed in terms of your career, retirement planning is unlikely to be high on your a to do list. Instead, buying a car, going on vacation to exotic locations and acquiring the latest gizmos are likely to have more appeal. Nothing wrong with that, but this shouldn't be at the cost of retirement planning.

It's never too early to plan for retirement. On the contrary, the earlier you begin, the easier the task will be. With more time at your disposal, you will be able to explore various investment opportunities and easily accumulate the requisite retirement kitty. The key lies in recognizing the eventuality of retirement and working towards providing for it. This will hold you in good stead over the long-term

2. It's fine to take on higher risk in rising markets:

How often have you heard that, particularly when equity markets are surging northwards and all market-linked investments seem like easy pickings? The urge to a ride the rising markets and make a quick buck can be hard to resist. Even the resolve of the most steadfast investor can be tested. And to some it makes perfect sense - when equity markets are on a roll, why hold back?
Here's why - your risk profile is a part of your innate behaviour. It is unlikely to change just because markets are experiencing volatility.

If you are a risk-averse investor, you stay the same even in the event of rising markets; similarly, a risk-taking investor continues to be one even if markets spiral southwards. Sure, your portfolio might need adjustments based on changing market conditions. But at all times, the investments should reflect your risk profile and asset allocation based on the objectives that you have set out to achieve.

3. Why diversify? Equity is all I need:

The ability of equity (as an asset class) to outperform other asset classes over longer time frames is well-chronicled. Based on the same, the conclusion drawn is that holding a portfolio comprised of just equity/equity-oriented avenues is good enough and that there is no need to diversify across asset classes.

Notwithstanding the positive attributes of an equity investment, investors are often guilty of ignoring its high risk-high return nature. Then again, the returns that you hope to clock from an equity investment would depend on (among other factors) the fund/stock that you have chosen to invest in and also the timing of your investment. For example, several investments in tech funds/stocks at the peak of the tech boom in 2000 failed to deliver for long time periods. Hence, it is pertinent that you hold a portfolio that is adequately diversified across equity, debt and gold. This in turn will ensure that a downturn in any asset is offset by an upturn in another (since various assets have varying cycles), thereby ensuring that your portfolio is safeguarded at all times. It will also help you hedge against inflation.

4. Investing is a one-time activity:

Assume that you have made investments in various avenues and asset classes that are right for you. In other words, you have in place an investment portfolio that is geared to take care of your financial goals. So is it time to put your feet up and call it a day as far as your investments are concerned? Not quite.

Don't make the mistake of treating investing as a one-time activity. Even the best of investment portfolios could become redundant over a period of time. This is because with passage of time, your life goals and financial needs may change . Hence, it is vital that your portfolio be reviewed regularly and necessary alterations made, when required.

5. Investments should be made only for tax-planning

Surprised to read a statement like that in an article about investment myths? Don't be. It's a reasonably common belief that if you are well-heeled, you don't need to invest, except perhaps for the mandatory tax-planning investments. The underlying assumption is that a healthy financial condition at present is good enough to provide for all future needs as well. As a result, investing is perceived as an activity that can be avoided, save for the obligatory tax-panning one.

However, there is one factor which turns the above hypothesis on its head and that is inflation.

Simply put, inflation is a situation wherein too much money chases a limited number of goods; this leads to a fall in the value of money. Often inflation is expressed in terms of a rise in the general price level. For example, if a product costs Rs 100 at present and prices rise by 5% annually, you will require Rs 105 to buy the same product a year hence. And one way to counter inflation is by making investments in avenues that grow faster than the inflation rate, like equities for instance. This will not only ensure that the value of your money is preserved, but it can grow significantly enough for you to achieve your financial goals.

Conclusion:
Luckily for you, avoiding these myths and keeping the facts in mind is easy. If you would like to take things a step further and are seeking professional guidance with building your financial plan, speak to a professional financial planning organization.

PersonalFN is a Mumbai based Financial Planning and Mutual Fund Research Firm