Several hundred thousand crude oil contracts trade on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) on a typical day.
Look closely at the details of the session's activity and you'll see prices like $68.08, the closing price for October crude on Sept. 1.
You'll probably notice that December 2010 crude settled at $75.07 and that the more time passes, the higher the price goes. For instance, traders have set the price for crude that will be delivered in December 2015 at $85.11.
Those prices all strike me as very high.
Then I realized I was shopping in the wrong store. The place to buy oil isn't at the New York Mercantile Exchange, it's a few blocks away at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
That's where I found out I could buy a barrel of oil for as little as $4.67.
It's not impossible, unethical or immoral. But it may well be the deal of a lifetime. That price is roughly 7 cents on the dollar for a barrel of crude that will cost nearly $70 just a little way down the street.
Let me show you how I did it.
It would cost $26 billon to buy every single share of Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE: APC). So let's assume I (could) write that check.
What would I get in return?
Well, from the CEO's perspective, I'd own an industry leader in oil and gas exploration.
From the CFO's point of view, I'd have a company with $19.6 billion worth of net assets that typically generates between $3 billion and $6 billion in cash from operations each year.
But from my perspective, the most important thing I would own is Anadarko's 2.37 billion barrels of crude oil reserves.
That oil is worth about $165 billion at today's prices. And it will be worth $237 billion on the day coming soon when I believe oil prices will hit $100.
Bottom line: If I buy Anadarko for $26 billion, I get $165 billion worth of oil.
Don't have $26 billion laying around? Hey, don't feel bad. I don't either. But I can buy a single share of Anadarko's stock for about $53. That share, one of 450.9 million, entitles its owner to a tiny share of the company's assets. That might not seem like much, but it works out to 4.6 barrels of oil. That's $312.80 worth of oil for $53 -- and you get the rest of the company, which also has significant natural gas inventory, for free.
Believe it or not, I found four other companies that offer oil even cheaper than Anadarko.
As you can see from the table, individual investors like you and me can buy oil for a far better price than the hotshot commodity traders.
a:link {color:#125AD3; } a:visited {color:#125AD3;} table.MsoNormalTable{mso-style-parent:"";font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";}Company | Market Cap | Crude Reserves | Barrel Cost |
BreitBurn | $483.9M | 103.6M | $4.67 |
Venoco | $441.7M | 58.5M | $7.55 |
Berry Petroleum | $1.0B | 125.5M | $8.13 |
Conoco Phillips | $67.8B | 8.1B | $8.39 |
Anadarko | $26.7B | 2.3B | $11.71 |
Chevron | $142.4B | 8.6B | $16.58 |
Plains Exploration | $3.2B | 177.6M | $18.02 |
Total S.A. | $129.5B | 5.7B | $22.72 |
ExxonMobil | $340.5B | 11.2B | $30.46 |
St. Mary Land | $1.7B | 51.4M | $33.07 |
Marathon | $22.4B | 636.0M | $35.17 |
Shell | $173.9B | 2.6B | $66.92 |
Cimarex Energy | $3.3B | 45.2M | $73.67 |
EOG Resources | $18.4B | 225.0M | $81.69 |
Murphy | $11.2B | 124.5M | $89.96 |
Devon Energy | $27.6B | 291.6M | $94.55 |
The winner in the cheap-oil derby, then, is BreitBurn Energy Partners (Nasdaq: BBEP), a limited partnership based in Los Angeles with 103.6 million barrels of reserves. You can purchase one share of this company on the Nasdaq for less than $10 a share. But in per-share crude reserves alone, that share is worth about $140!
In aggregate, BreitBurn can be bought for $483 million. Its oil is worth $7.4 billion. You can buy BreitBurn's crude for less than the $7.92 it typically costs Big Oil to produce a barrel.
That's a steal. It won't last long, either. Most of these oil companies are trading in the bottom half of their 52-week ranges, even though oil has already rebounded +75% off its lows . As the price of this commodity inches ever closer to $100 a barrel, these oil producers' shares prices could be poised to take off.
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